Recent forecast guidance from global models including GFS and ECMWF shows Istanbul under stable high pressure with clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds on September 9, supporting a daily maximum near 26 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most likely peak between 25–27 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover around 23–25 °C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25 °C reflects trader assessment of slight downward bias in the latest runs and the narrow resolution window for the official station reading, while lower probabilities on 24 °C or 27 °C capture remaining model spread and potential for small timing shifts in the diurnal peak. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 61%
26°C 21%
24°C 14%
27°C 4%
21°C या उससे कम
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
61%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
25°C 61%
26°C 21%
24°C 14%
27°C 4%
21°C या उससे कम
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
61%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from global models including GFS and ECMWF shows Istanbul under stable high pressure with clear to mostly sunny skies and moderate northeast winds on September 9, supporting a daily maximum near 26 °C. Ensemble spreads place the most likely peak between 25–27 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages hover around 23–25 °C. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25 °C reflects trader assessment of slight downward bias in the latest runs and the narrow resolution window for the official station reading, while lower probabilities on 24 °C or 27 °C capture remaining model spread and potential for small timing shifts in the diurnal peak. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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