Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to daytime highs near 27°C in Istanbul on June 17, driven by building high pressure and light southerly flow, though earlier model runs suggested 24–25°C under more persistent onshore winds from the cooler Sea of Marmara. Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C outcomes (combined ~73% implied probability) because numerical weather prediction ensembles still show modest spread in cloud cover, timing of any weak trough, and urban heat-island versus sea-breeze effects that can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–3°C. Historical mid-June climatology averages 25–26°C, providing a baseline, yet the two-day forecast horizon leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs or local observations that could shift the exact maximum across the 23–27°C band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 जून को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 34%
25°C 30%
26°C 19%
23°C 7%
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
34%
25°C
30%
26°C
19%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C या उससे अधिक
1%
24°C 34%
25°C 30%
26°C 19%
23°C 7%
19°C या उससे कम
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
34%
25°C
30%
26°C
19%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate point to daytime highs near 27°C in Istanbul on June 17, driven by building high pressure and light southerly flow, though earlier model runs suggested 24–25°C under more persistent onshore winds from the cooler Sea of Marmara. Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C outcomes (combined ~73% implied probability) because numerical weather prediction ensembles still show modest spread in cloud cover, timing of any weak trough, and urban heat-island versus sea-breeze effects that can suppress afternoon peaks by 1–3°C. Historical mid-June climatology averages 25–26°C, providing a baseline, yet the two-day forecast horizon leaves room for last-minute adjustments from updated runs or local observations that could shift the exact maximum across the 23–27°C band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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