Recent model runs from global ensembles show tight clustering around a 28–30°C peak for Shenzhen on June 15, with 29°C holding the narrowest edge due to modest warm advection ahead of a weakening subtropical ridge. High humidity and light southerly flow typical of the East Asian monsoon season limit diurnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add 1–2°C locally compared with rural baselines. Ensemble spread remains modest because the event is less than 24 hours away, but small differences in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing can still shift the daily maximum by a degree. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution guidance that keeps the central tendency near 29°C while acknowledging the realistic 20–25% chance of a 30°C reading if mixing is stronger than currently projected.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 24%
27°C 7%
नया
नया
15 जून, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29°C
37%
30°C
24%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 24%
27°C 7%
नया
नया
15 जून, 2026
22°C or below
$367 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$735 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$780 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$1,871 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$1,458 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$982 वॉल्यूम
7%
28°C
$353 वॉल्यूम
30%
29°C
$345 वॉल्यूम
37%
30°C
$473 वॉल्यूम
24%
31°C
$1,112 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C or higher
$1,004 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from global ensembles show tight clustering around a 28–30°C peak for Shenzhen on June 15, with 29°C holding the narrowest edge due to modest warm advection ahead of a weakening subtropical ridge. High humidity and light southerly flow typical of the East Asian monsoon season limit diurnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add 1–2°C locally compared with rural baselines. Ensemble spread remains modest because the event is less than 24 hours away, but small differences in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing can still shift the daily maximum by a degree. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution guidance that keeps the central tendency near 29°C while acknowledging the realistic 20–25% chance of a 30°C reading if mixing is stronger than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,406समाप्ति तिथि
15 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from global ensembles show tight clustering around a 28–30°C peak for Shenzhen on June 15, with 29°C holding the narrowest edge due to modest warm advection ahead of a weakening subtropical ridge. High humidity and light southerly flow typical of the East Asian monsoon season limit diurnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add 1–2°C locally compared with rural baselines. Ensemble spread remains modest because the event is less than 24 hours away, but small differences in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing can still shift the daily maximum by a degree. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution guidance that keeps the central tendency near 29°C while acknowledging the realistic 20–25% chance of a 30°C reading if mixing is stronger than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$9,406समाप्ति तिथि
15 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from global ensembles show tight clustering around a 28–30°C peak for Shenzhen on June 15, with 29°C holding the narrowest edge due to modest warm advection ahead of a weakening subtropical ridge. High humidity and light southerly flow typical of the East Asian monsoon season limit diurnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the Pearl River Delta add 1–2°C locally compared with rural baselines. Ensemble spread remains modest because the event is less than 24 hours away, but small differences in boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing can still shift the daily maximum by a degree. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent high-resolution guidance that keeps the central tendency near 29°C while acknowledging the realistic 20–25% chance of a 30°C reading if mixing is stronger than currently projected.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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