Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's June 16 maximum will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, consistent with mid-month climatology where average highs reach 26–27°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Subtle differences in outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the strength of northerly maritime flow from the Black Sea, which can suppress daytime heating through increased cloud cover and reduced insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing peaks near 27°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs for comparable synoptic setups, noting that small shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture could tip resolution between the leading bins before final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 32%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
32%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 24%
27°C 20%
24°C 9%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
24%
26°C
32%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's June 16 maximum will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, consistent with mid-month climatology where average highs reach 26–27°C under typical subtropical high pressure. Subtle differences in outcomes hinge on forecast details such as the strength of northerly maritime flow from the Black Sea, which can suppress daytime heating through increased cloud cover and reduced insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing peaks near 27°C. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs and historical analogs for comparable synoptic setups, noting that small shifts in steering patterns or boundary-layer moisture could tip resolution between the leading bins before final observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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