Current forecast models from agencies and services including GFS data indicate a high near 27–28°C in Madrid on September 16, driven by moderate northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical early autumn conditions without strong advection or clear skies favoring extremes. This aligns with the historical average high of 26.4°C for the date and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 28°C, followed by 27°C and 29°C at 24% each, captures the tight range of ensemble outputs and low chance of significant deviation from these values. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
16 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
28°C 45%
29°C 25%
27°C 24%
26°C या उससे कम 6.6%
नया
$31,787 वॉल्यूम
नया
$31,787 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
7%
27°C
24%
28°C
45%
29°C
25%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C या अधिक
<1%
28°C 45%
29°C 25%
27°C 24%
26°C या उससे कम 6.6%
नया
$31,787 वॉल्यूम
नया
$31,787 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$2,643 वॉल्यूम
7%
27°C
$3,640 वॉल्यूम
24%
28°C
$5,311 वॉल्यूम
45%
29°C
$6,739 वॉल्यूम
25%
30°C
$6,443 वॉल्यूम
5%
31°C
$3,025 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$1,603 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C
$1,619 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$279 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C
$373 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C या अधिक
$112 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies and services including GFS data indicate a high near 27–28°C in Madrid on September 16, driven by moderate northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical early autumn conditions without strong advection or clear skies favoring extremes. This aligns with the historical average high of 26.4°C for the date and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 28°C, followed by 27°C and 29°C at 24% each, captures the tight range of ensemble outputs and low chance of significant deviation from these values. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,787समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies and services including GFS data indicate a high near 27–28°C in Madrid on September 16, driven by moderate northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical early autumn conditions without strong advection or clear skies favoring extremes. This aligns with the historical average high of 26.4°C for the date and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 28°C, followed by 27°C and 29°C at 24% each, captures the tight range of ensemble outputs and low chance of significant deviation from these values. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$31,787समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies and services including GFS data indicate a high near 27–28°C in Madrid on September 16, driven by moderate northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical early autumn conditions without strong advection or clear skies favoring extremes. This aligns with the historical average high of 26.4°C for the date and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. Trader consensus reflected in the 43.5% implied probability for 28°C, followed by 27°C and 29°C at 24% each, captures the tight range of ensemble outputs and low chance of significant deviation from these values. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact peak.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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