Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to a daily minimum of 17–19°C in Madrid on September 16 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 4–7 m/s, promoting nocturnal radiative cooling without significant mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 17°C and 18°C outcomes. A transient high-pressure ridge and lack of Atlantic moisture have kept conditions stable, though slight model spread on wind strength and dew-point recovery could shift the low by 1–2°C. The notable 25% implied probability on 26°C or higher likely reflects residual uncertainty around urban heat-island effects or any delayed cooling, while historical September averages near 15.4°C provide context for the current warmer setup. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
16 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C या अधिक 50%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
22°C 38%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
8%
17°C
30%
18°C
32%
19°C
22%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C या अधिक
50%
26°C या अधिक 50%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
22°C 38%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
$100 वॉल्यूम
8%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
30%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
32%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
26°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to a daily minimum of 17–19°C in Madrid on September 16 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 4–7 m/s, promoting nocturnal radiative cooling without significant mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 17°C and 18°C outcomes. A transient high-pressure ridge and lack of Atlantic moisture have kept conditions stable, though slight model spread on wind strength and dew-point recovery could shift the low by 1–2°C. The notable 25% implied probability on 26°C or higher likely reflects residual uncertainty around urban heat-island effects or any delayed cooling, while historical September averages near 15.4°C provide context for the current warmer setup. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$100समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to a daily minimum of 17–19°C in Madrid on September 16 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 4–7 m/s, promoting nocturnal radiative cooling without significant mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 17°C and 18°C outcomes. A transient high-pressure ridge and lack of Atlantic moisture have kept conditions stable, though slight model spread on wind strength and dew-point recovery could shift the low by 1–2°C. The notable 25% implied probability on 26°C or higher likely reflects residual uncertainty around urban heat-island effects or any delayed cooling, while historical September averages near 15.4°C provide context for the current warmer setup. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$100समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and GFS point to a daily minimum of 17–19°C in Madrid on September 16 under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds of 4–7 m/s, promoting nocturnal radiative cooling without significant mixing. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 17°C and 18°C outcomes. A transient high-pressure ridge and lack of Atlantic moisture have kept conditions stable, though slight model spread on wind strength and dew-point recovery could shift the low by 1–2°C. The notable 25% implied probability on 26°C or higher likely reflects residual uncertainty around urban heat-island effects or any delayed cooling, while historical September averages near 15.4°C provide context for the current warmer setup. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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