Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs and AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 15, supporting a daytime maximum near 35–36°C. This warm anomaly stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge allowing strong solar heating on the central plateau, well above the 1991–2020 September average high of about 27°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with peak readings most likely during afternoon hours, though exact values depend on boundary-layer mixing and local urban effects. Trader positioning at 63.5% for 36°C and 27.5% for 35°C reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below acknowledge residual uncertainty in final observational data from official stations. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
15 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
36°C 64%
35°C 27%
37°C 5%
34°C 3%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
31°C या उससे कम
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
27%
36°C
64%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
36°C 64%
35°C 27%
37°C 5%
34°C 3%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
31°C या उससे कम
$138 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$189 वॉल्यूम
1%
33°C
$223 वॉल्यूम
1%
34°C
$408 वॉल्यूम
3%
35°C
$1,931 वॉल्यूम
27%
36°C
$1,400 वॉल्यूम
64%
37°C
$1,586 वॉल्यूम
5%
38°C
$183 वॉल्यूम
1%
39°C
$178 वॉल्यूम
1%
40°C
$124 वॉल्यूम
<1%
41°C या उससे अधिक
$189 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs and AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 15, supporting a daytime maximum near 35–36°C. This warm anomaly stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge allowing strong solar heating on the central plateau, well above the 1991–2020 September average high of about 27°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with peak readings most likely during afternoon hours, though exact values depend on boundary-layer mixing and local urban effects. Trader positioning at 63.5% for 36°C and 27.5% for 35°C reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below acknowledge residual uncertainty in final observational data from official stations. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,548समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs and AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 15, supporting a daytime maximum near 35–36°C. This warm anomaly stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge allowing strong solar heating on the central plateau, well above the 1991–2020 September average high of about 27°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with peak readings most likely during afternoon hours, though exact values depend on boundary-layer mixing and local urban effects. Trader positioning at 63.5% for 36°C and 27.5% for 35°C reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below acknowledge residual uncertainty in final observational data from official stations. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$6,548समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs and AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover over Madrid on September 15, supporting a daytime maximum near 35–36°C. This warm anomaly stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge allowing strong solar heating on the central plateau, well above the 1991–2020 September average high of about 27°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread, with peak readings most likely during afternoon hours, though exact values depend on boundary-layer mixing and local urban effects. Trader positioning at 63.5% for 36°C and 27.5% for 35°C reflects this model agreement, while lower probabilities for 37°C or below acknowledge residual uncertainty in final observational data from official stations. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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