Trader consensus on the Mexico City temperature market reflects aggregated real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction model outputs indicating the daily maximum will reach or exceed 26°C. Afternoon surface observations combined with steering patterns and insolation under partly cloudy skies support peak readings in this range, consistent with historical September climatology for the high-elevation basin where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. The near-certain market-implied probability leaves little room for lower outcomes, though localized convective cooling from intense thunderstorms or a sharper-than-expected frontal passage could still trim the observed high below the threshold if timing aligns with the warmest hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
12 सितंबर को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C या उससे अधिक 100.0%
16°C या उससे कम <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$17,857 वॉल्यूम
$17,857 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C या उससे अधिक
100%
26°C या उससे अधिक 100.0%
16°C या उससे कम <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$17,857 वॉल्यूम
$17,857 वॉल्यूम
12 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
$127 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$127 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$127 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$112 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$329 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$336 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$1,474 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$1,894 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$2,777 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$4,413 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C या उससे अधिक
$6,142 वॉल्यूम
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Mexico City temperature market reflects aggregated real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction model outputs indicating the daily maximum will reach or exceed 26°C. Afternoon surface observations combined with steering patterns and insolation under partly cloudy skies support peak readings in this range, consistent with historical September climatology for the high-elevation basin where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. The near-certain market-implied probability leaves little room for lower outcomes, though localized convective cooling from intense thunderstorms or a sharper-than-expected frontal passage could still trim the observed high below the threshold if timing aligns with the warmest hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,857समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Mexico City temperature market reflects aggregated real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction model outputs indicating the daily maximum will reach or exceed 26°C. Afternoon surface observations combined with steering patterns and insolation under partly cloudy skies support peak readings in this range, consistent with historical September climatology for the high-elevation basin where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. The near-certain market-implied probability leaves little room for lower outcomes, though localized convective cooling from intense thunderstorms or a sharper-than-expected frontal passage could still trim the observed high below the threshold if timing aligns with the warmest hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$17,857समाप्ति तिथि
12 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 10, 2026, 8:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Mexico City temperature market reflects aggregated real-time observational data and numerical weather prediction model outputs indicating the daily maximum will reach or exceed 26°C. Afternoon surface observations combined with steering patterns and insolation under partly cloudy skies support peak readings in this range, consistent with historical September climatology for the high-elevation basin where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. The near-certain market-implied probability leaves little room for lower outcomes, though localized convective cooling from intense thunderstorms or a sharper-than-expected frontal passage could still trim the observed high below the threshold if timing aligns with the warmest hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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