Recent official forecasts from Russian Hydromet and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a high of 20–22°C for Moscow on September 4 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 21°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Daytime heating peaks midday to afternoon amid light winds and minimal precipitation risk, while historical September 4 averages near 18.7°C provide climatological context for the modest warmth. Minor model spread on exact maximum, driven by cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, sustains the tight clustering around 20–22°C, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting low-confidence extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this short-term temperature market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 सितंबर को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21°C 52%
20°C 22%
22°C 18%
19°C 6%
नया
$12,587 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,587 वॉल्यूम
4 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
22%
21°C
52%
22°C
18%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C या अधिक
<1%
21°C 52%
20°C 22%
22°C 18%
19°C 6%
नया
$12,587 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,587 वॉल्यूम
4 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
$385 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$906 वॉल्यूम
1%
18°C
$1,004 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$830 वॉल्यूम
6%
20°C
$3,448 वॉल्यूम
22%
21°C
$1,366 वॉल्यूम
52%
22°C
$2,700 वॉल्यूम
18%
23°C
$1,149 वॉल्यूम
3%
24°C
$237 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$362 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C या अधिक
$199 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russian Hydromet and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a high of 20–22°C for Moscow on September 4 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 21°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Daytime heating peaks midday to afternoon amid light winds and minimal precipitation risk, while historical September 4 averages near 18.7°C provide climatological context for the modest warmth. Minor model spread on exact maximum, driven by cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, sustains the tight clustering around 20–22°C, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting low-confidence extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this short-term temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,587समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russian Hydromet and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a high of 20–22°C for Moscow on September 4 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 21°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Daytime heating peaks midday to afternoon amid light winds and minimal precipitation risk, while historical September 4 averages near 18.7°C provide climatological context for the modest warmth. Minor model spread on exact maximum, driven by cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, sustains the tight clustering around 20–22°C, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting low-confidence extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this short-term temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,587समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russian Hydromet and global models (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a high of 20–22°C for Moscow on September 4 under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover, aligning with the market's leading 21°C outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Daytime heating peaks midday to afternoon amid light winds and minimal precipitation risk, while historical September 4 averages near 18.7°C provide climatological context for the modest warmth. Minor model spread on exact maximum, driven by cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, sustains the tight clustering around 20–22°C, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting low-confidence extremes. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this short-term temperature market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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