Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate clearing skies and onshore flow will support a high near 66–68°F in San Francisco on September 5 after an early-week frontal passage brought cooler, showery conditions. The 70–71°F bin leads at 44% implied probability because traders weigh the seasonal tendency for September warming once the marine layer retreats, combined with light west winds that can allow modest inland heat advection. Differentiation between the tightly bunched 68–69°F and 70–71°F outcomes hinges on the precise depth of any residual stratus, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures across short-range models. Updated NWS briefings and 12z model runs through Friday will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 सितंबर को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
5 सितंबर को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 14%
नया
नया
5 सित, 2026
59°F या कम
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
4%
78°F या उससे अधिक
4%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 14%
नया
नया
5 सित, 2026
59°F या कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
60-61°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
62-63°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
64-65°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
66-67°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
68-69°F
$40 वॉल्यूम
35%
70-71°F
$229 वॉल्यूम
44%
72-73°F
$20 वॉल्यूम
11%
74-75°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
76-77°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
78°F या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate clearing skies and onshore flow will support a high near 66–68°F in San Francisco on September 5 after an early-week frontal passage brought cooler, showery conditions. The 70–71°F bin leads at 44% implied probability because traders weigh the seasonal tendency for September warming once the marine layer retreats, combined with light west winds that can allow modest inland heat advection. Differentiation between the tightly bunched 68–69°F and 70–71°F outcomes hinges on the precise depth of any residual stratus, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures across short-range models. Updated NWS briefings and 12z model runs through Friday will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$289समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate clearing skies and onshore flow will support a high near 66–68°F in San Francisco on September 5 after an early-week frontal passage brought cooler, showery conditions. The 70–71°F bin leads at 44% implied probability because traders weigh the seasonal tendency for September warming once the marine layer retreats, combined with light west winds that can allow modest inland heat advection. Differentiation between the tightly bunched 68–69°F and 70–71°F outcomes hinges on the precise depth of any residual stratus, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures across short-range models. Updated NWS briefings and 12z model runs through Friday will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$289समाप्ति तिथि
5 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate clearing skies and onshore flow will support a high near 66–68°F in San Francisco on September 5 after an early-week frontal passage brought cooler, showery conditions. The 70–71°F bin leads at 44% implied probability because traders weigh the seasonal tendency for September warming once the marine layer retreats, combined with light west winds that can allow modest inland heat advection. Differentiation between the tightly bunched 68–69°F and 70–71°F outcomes hinges on the precise depth of any residual stratus, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and small variations in 850 hPa temperatures across short-range models. Updated NWS briefings and 12z model runs through Friday will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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