Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
15 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F या उससे कम <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$28,250 वॉल्यूम
$28,250 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
59°F या उससे कम
नहीं
60-61°F
नहीं
62-63°F
नहीं
64-65°F
नहीं
66-67°F
नहीं
68-69°F
हाँ
70-71°F
नहीं
72-73°F
नहीं
74-75°F
नहीं
76-77°F
नहीं
78°F या उससे अधिक
नहीं
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F या उससे कम <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$28,250 वॉल्यूम
$28,250 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
59°F या उससे कम
$756 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
60-61°F
$510 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
62-63°F
$4,035 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
64-65°F
$1,920 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
66-67°F
$4,244 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
68-69°F
$6,585 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
70-71°F
$4,078 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
72-73°F
$2,264 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
74-75°F
$1,939 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
76-77°F
$1,297 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
78°F या उससे अधिक
$623 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,250समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$28,250समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETपरिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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