Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a moderate high near 74–76°F in Seattle today, driven by persistent onshore marine flow and zonal upper-level winds that limit daytime heating despite a broader warmer-than-average Pacific Northwest summer. These conditions, typical for mid-August under a building but not dominant ridge, keep maximum temperatures several degrees below seasonal peaks while maintaining dew points in the 50s that suppress further warming. Updated model runs showing slightly stronger marine intrusion have reinforced trader consensus around the 74–75°F bin, with lower probabilities assigned to 78°F+ outcomes given the limited insolation and expected afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement. Historical analogs and August climatology near 77°F provide context, though short-term forecast adjustments remain the dominant near-term market mover.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को सिएटल में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
74-75°F 41%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 18%
71°F or below 14.3%
$10,594 वॉल्यूम
$10,594 वॉल्यूम
71°F or below
14%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 41%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 18%
71°F or below 14.3%
$10,594 वॉल्यूम
$10,594 वॉल्यूम
71°F or below
14%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a moderate high near 74–76°F in Seattle today, driven by persistent onshore marine flow and zonal upper-level winds that limit daytime heating despite a broader warmer-than-average Pacific Northwest summer. These conditions, typical for mid-August under a building but not dominant ridge, keep maximum temperatures several degrees below seasonal peaks while maintaining dew points in the 50s that suppress further warming. Updated model runs showing slightly stronger marine intrusion have reinforced trader consensus around the 74–75°F bin, with lower probabilities assigned to 78°F+ outcomes given the limited insolation and expected afternoon sea-breeze reinforcement. Historical analogs and August climatology near 77°F provide context, though short-term forecast adjustments remain the dominant near-term market mover.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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