Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including contributions to CMA guidance, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with limited moisture and modest southerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily highs typically range 30–33°C. This setup explains the market's concentration of implied probability on 32°C (49%) and adjacent outcomes at 31°C and 33°C, reflecting tight model consensus with only modest spread from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. No significant typhoon or frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution, though traders will monitor overnight updates from the 00Z ECMWF and GFS runs for any last adjustments in the thermal profile.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 6%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
18%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 6%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
26°C or below
$119 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$839 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$275 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$503 वॉल्यूम
3%
30°C
$509 वॉल्यूम
6%
31°C
$3,190 वॉल्यूम
26%
32°C
$488 वॉल्यूम
50%
33°C
$433 वॉल्यूम
18%
34°C
$885 वॉल्यूम
4%
35°C
$99 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36°C or higher
$94 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including contributions to CMA guidance, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with limited moisture and modest southerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily highs typically range 30–33°C. This setup explains the market's concentration of implied probability on 32°C (49%) and adjacent outcomes at 31°C and 33°C, reflecting tight model consensus with only modest spread from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. No significant typhoon or frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution, though traders will monitor overnight updates from the 00Z ECMWF and GFS runs for any last adjustments in the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,434समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including contributions to CMA guidance, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with limited moisture and modest southerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily highs typically range 30–33°C. This setup explains the market's concentration of implied probability on 32°C (49%) and adjacent outcomes at 31°C and 33°C, reflecting tight model consensus with only modest spread from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. No significant typhoon or frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution, though traders will monitor overnight updates from the 00Z ECMWF and GFS runs for any last adjustments in the thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$7,434समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including contributions to CMA guidance, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Shanghai on August 26 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with limited moisture and modest southerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where daily highs typically range 30–33°C. This setup explains the market's concentration of implied probability on 32°C (49%) and adjacent outcomes at 31°C and 33°C, reflecting tight model consensus with only modest spread from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover. No significant typhoon or frontal systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution, though traders will monitor overnight updates from the 00Z ECMWF and GFS runs for any last adjustments in the thermal profile.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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