Current forecast consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
6 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
19°C 45%
18°C 30%
20°C 24%
17°C 7%
नया
नया
6 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
30%
19°C
45%
20°C
24%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C या उससे अधिक
2%
19°C 45%
18°C 30%
20°C 24%
17°C 7%
नया
नया
6 सित, 2026
14°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
18°C
$179 वॉल्यूम
30%
19°C
$115 वॉल्यूम
45%
20°C
$224 वॉल्यूम
24%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
24°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$518समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$518समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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