**Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical weather prediction models position 22–23°C as the most probable range for London's maximum temperature on September 4, 2026.** A shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or drizzle are limiting daytime solar heating after warmer conditions on September 3. Ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS shows surface highs constrained by these factors, with afternoon temperatures peaking near 21–23°C amid moderate winds. Historical September climatology for London supports maxima in this band when Atlantic air masses dominate. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this model consensus, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty window before resolution. Minor model spread on shower timing or brief cloud breaks could still nudge the exact peak within the 21–24°C band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 सितंबर को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
22°C 41%
23°C 28%
21°C 18%
20°C 6%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
18%
22°C
41%
23°C
28%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C या अधिक
<1%
22°C 41%
23°C 28%
21°C 18%
20°C 6%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
$231 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$181 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$91 वॉल्यूम
2%
20°C
$152 वॉल्यूम
6%
21°C
$302 वॉल्यूम
18%
22°C
$525 वॉल्यूम
41%
23°C
$477 वॉल्यूम
28%
24°C
$710 वॉल्यूम
5%
25°C
$193 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$250 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C या अधिक
$225 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical weather prediction models position 22–23°C as the most probable range for London's maximum temperature on September 4, 2026.**
A shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or drizzle are limiting daytime solar heating after warmer conditions on September 3. Ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS shows surface highs constrained by these factors, with afternoon temperatures peaking near 21–23°C amid moderate winds. Historical September climatology for London supports maxima in this band when Atlantic air masses dominate.
Market-implied probabilities align closely with this model consensus, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty window before resolution. Minor model spread on shower timing or brief cloud breaks could still nudge the exact peak within the 21–24°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,336समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical weather prediction models position 22–23°C as the most probable range for London's maximum temperature on September 4, 2026.**
A shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or drizzle are limiting daytime solar heating after warmer conditions on September 3. Ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS shows surface highs constrained by these factors, with afternoon temperatures peaking near 21–23°C amid moderate winds. Historical September climatology for London supports maxima in this band when Atlantic air masses dominate.
Market-implied probabilities align closely with this model consensus, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty window before resolution. Minor model spread on shower timing or brief cloud breaks could still nudge the exact peak within the 21–24°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,336समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical weather prediction models position 22–23°C as the most probable range for London's maximum temperature on September 4, 2026.** A shift to westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or drizzle are limiting daytime solar heating after warmer conditions on September 3. Ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS shows surface highs constrained by these factors, with afternoon temperatures peaking near 21–23°C amid moderate winds. Historical September climatology for London supports maxima in this band when Atlantic air masses dominate. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this model consensus, reflecting trader assessment of the narrow uncertainty window before resolution. Minor model spread on shower timing or brief cloud breaks could still nudge the exact peak within the 21–24°C band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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