Recent Fed policy tightening has anchored trader focus on the 30-year Treasury yield, which closed near 5.28% on September 21 after touching a multi-year peak above 5.36% amid persistent inflation pressures. The September FOMC meeting delivered a unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the federal funds target range of 3.75-4.00%, with updated projections signaling at least one additional increase by year-end as officials cited elevated core PCE readings and geopolitical oil-price risks. Heavy Treasury issuance, solid economic growth supported by AI-related spending, and a rising term premium have lifted long-term yields, while the yield curve has bear-flattened. Key near-term catalysts include the October FOMC meeting, upcoming PMI and labor-market data, and any moderation in inflation or crude prices that could ease upward pressure before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$47,180 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
6.00%
5%
5.80%
5%
5.70%
9%
5.65%
15%
5.60%
28%
5.55%
35%
5.50%
52%
5.45%
67%
5.40%
77%
$47,180 वॉल्यूम
6.00%
$3,096 वॉल्यूम
5%
5.80%
$10,098 वॉल्यूम
5%
5.70%
$3,235 वॉल्यूम
9%
5.65%
$5,927 वॉल्यूम
15%
5.60%
$2,939 वॉल्यूम
28%
5.55%
$3,041 वॉल्यूम
35%
5.50%
$2,733 वॉल्यूम
52%
5.45%
$9,007 वॉल्यूम
67%
5.40%
$7,103 वॉल्यूम
77%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Fed policy tightening has anchored trader focus on the 30-year Treasury yield, which closed near 5.28% on September 21 after touching a multi-year peak above 5.36% amid persistent inflation pressures. The September FOMC meeting delivered a unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the federal funds target range of 3.75-4.00%, with updated projections signaling at least one additional increase by year-end as officials cited elevated core PCE readings and geopolitical oil-price risks. Heavy Treasury issuance, solid economic growth supported by AI-related spending, and a rising term premium have lifted long-term yields, while the yield curve has bear-flattened. Key near-term catalysts include the October FOMC meeting, upcoming PMI and labor-market data, and any moderation in inflation or crude prices that could ease upward pressure before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,180समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Fed policy tightening has anchored trader focus on the 30-year Treasury yield, which closed near 5.28% on September 21 after touching a multi-year peak above 5.36% amid persistent inflation pressures. The September FOMC meeting delivered a unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the federal funds target range of 3.75-4.00%, with updated projections signaling at least one additional increase by year-end as officials cited elevated core PCE readings and geopolitical oil-price risks. Heavy Treasury issuance, solid economic growth supported by AI-related spending, and a rising term premium have lifted long-term yields, while the yield curve has bear-flattened. Key near-term catalysts include the October FOMC meeting, upcoming PMI and labor-market data, and any moderation in inflation or crude prices that could ease upward pressure before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$47,180समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent Fed policy tightening has anchored trader focus on the 30-year Treasury yield, which closed near 5.28% on September 21 after touching a multi-year peak above 5.36% amid persistent inflation pressures. The September FOMC meeting delivered a unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the federal funds target range of 3.75-4.00%, with updated projections signaling at least one additional increase by year-end as officials cited elevated core PCE readings and geopolitical oil-price risks. Heavy Treasury issuance, solid economic growth supported by AI-related spending, and a rising term premium have lifted long-term yields, while the yield curve has bear-flattened. Key near-term catalysts include the October FOMC meeting, upcoming PMI and labor-market data, and any moderation in inflation or crude prices that could ease upward pressure before year-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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