Recent Federal Reserve policy actions and shifting inflation signals have anchored trader focus on the 10-year Treasury yield's September range. The central bank raised the federal funds target range by 25 basis points last week and signaled potential further tightening, reinforcing expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path amid resilient growth and geopolitical oil-supply risks. Yields climbed toward 5.04% mid-month—the highest since 2007—before easing below 4.96% as crude prices declined and risk sentiment improved modestly. Market-implied odds reflect this volatility, with the lowest print likely determined by any additional data on inflation, labor conditions, or central bank communications before month-end. Traders monitor upcoming Fed speeches and energy market developments for potential late-September moves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$62,195 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
4.76% से नीचे
5%
4.73% से नीचे
3%
4.70% से नीचे
2%
4.67% से नीचे
2%
4.64% से नीचे
2%
4.61% से नीचे
1%
4.56% से नीचे
3%
4.51% से नीचे
3%
4.45% से नीचे
2%
$62,195 वॉल्यूम
4.76% से नीचे
$24,137 वॉल्यूम
5%
4.73% से नीचे
$13,362 वॉल्यूम
3%
4.70% से नीचे
$9,222 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.67% से नीचे
$2,629 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.64% से नीचे
$4,366 वॉल्यूम
2%
4.61% से नीचे
$3,137 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.56% से नीचे
$1,718 वॉल्यूम
3%
4.51% से नीचे
$980 वॉल्यूम
3%
4.45% से नीचे
$2,645 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Federal Reserve policy actions and shifting inflation signals have anchored trader focus on the 10-year Treasury yield's September range. The central bank raised the federal funds target range by 25 basis points last week and signaled potential further tightening, reinforcing expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path amid resilient growth and geopolitical oil-supply risks. Yields climbed toward 5.04% mid-month—the highest since 2007—before easing below 4.96% as crude prices declined and risk sentiment improved modestly. Market-implied odds reflect this volatility, with the lowest print likely determined by any additional data on inflation, labor conditions, or central bank communications before month-end. Traders monitor upcoming Fed speeches and energy market developments for potential late-September moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$62,195समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent Federal Reserve policy actions and shifting inflation signals have anchored trader focus on the 10-year Treasury yield's September range. The central bank raised the federal funds target range by 25 basis points last week and signaled potential further tightening, reinforcing expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path amid resilient growth and geopolitical oil-supply risks. Yields climbed toward 5.04% mid-month—the highest since 2007—before easing below 4.96% as crude prices declined and risk sentiment improved modestly. Market-implied odds reflect this volatility, with the lowest print likely determined by any additional data on inflation, labor conditions, or central bank communications before month-end. Traders monitor upcoming Fed speeches and energy market developments for potential late-September moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$62,195समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent Federal Reserve policy actions and shifting inflation signals have anchored trader focus on the 10-year Treasury yield's September range. The central bank raised the federal funds target range by 25 basis points last week and signaled potential further tightening, reinforcing expectations for a higher-for-longer policy path amid resilient growth and geopolitical oil-supply risks. Yields climbed toward 5.04% mid-month—the highest since 2007—before easing below 4.96% as crude prices declined and risk sentiment improved modestly. Market-implied odds reflect this volatility, with the lowest print likely determined by any additional data on inflation, labor conditions, or central bank communications before month-end. Traders monitor upcoming Fed speeches and energy market developments for potential late-September moves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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