Global seismicity rates underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds for 5.5+ magnitude events during August 10–16, with USGS data indicating typical weekly counts of roughly 6–14 amid natural variability in tectonic plate motion. A M7.4 quake near Colombia on August 10, alongside recent M6.3 events off the Kermadec Islands and Philippines plus an M5.6 in Alaska, has triggered aftershock sequences that could push totals toward or above the 8–9 range, while subdued activity in other subduction zones and transform faults keeps lower outcomes competitive. Historical baselines show clustering risks from aftershocks decaying over days, with precise USGS magnitude thresholds and ongoing monitoring determining final resolution by August 16.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 अगस्त से 16 अगस्त तक कितने 5.5 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
10 अगस्त से 16 अगस्त तक कितने 5.5 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
≤6 26.6%
8 15%
7 14.0%
9 13%
नया
नया
9 अग, 2026
≤6
27%
7
14%
8
15%
9
13%
10
11%
11
9%
12
7%
13
6%
>13
8%
≤6 26.6%
8 15%
7 14.0%
9 13%
नया
नया
9 अग, 2026
≤6
$3,769 वॉल्यूम
27%
7
$297 वॉल्यूम
14%
8
$55 वॉल्यूम
15%
9
$67 वॉल्यूम
13%
10
$101 वॉल्यूम
11%
11
$50 वॉल्यूम
9%
12
$65 वॉल्यूम
7%
13
$21 वॉल्यूम
6%
>13
$3,791 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity rates underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds for 5.5+ magnitude events during August 10–16, with USGS data indicating typical weekly counts of roughly 6–14 amid natural variability in tectonic plate motion. A M7.4 quake near Colombia on August 10, alongside recent M6.3 events off the Kermadec Islands and Philippines plus an M5.6 in Alaska, has triggered aftershock sequences that could push totals toward or above the 8–9 range, while subdued activity in other subduction zones and transform faults keeps lower outcomes competitive. Historical baselines show clustering risks from aftershocks decaying over days, with precise USGS magnitude thresholds and ongoing monitoring determining final resolution by August 16.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,168समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity rates underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds for 5.5+ magnitude events during August 10–16, with USGS data indicating typical weekly counts of roughly 6–14 amid natural variability in tectonic plate motion. A M7.4 quake near Colombia on August 10, alongside recent M6.3 events off the Kermadec Islands and Philippines plus an M5.6 in Alaska, has triggered aftershock sequences that could push totals toward or above the 8–9 range, while subdued activity in other subduction zones and transform faults keeps lower outcomes competitive. Historical baselines show clustering risks from aftershocks decaying over days, with precise USGS magnitude thresholds and ongoing monitoring determining final resolution by August 16.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
वॉल्यूम
$8,168समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismicity rates underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds for 5.5+ magnitude events during August 10–16, with USGS data indicating typical weekly counts of roughly 6–14 amid natural variability in tectonic plate motion. A M7.4 quake near Colombia on August 10, alongside recent M6.3 events off the Kermadec Islands and Philippines plus an M5.6 in Alaska, has triggered aftershock sequences that could push totals toward or above the 8–9 range, while subdued activity in other subduction zones and transform faults keeps lower outcomes competitive. Historical baselines show clustering risks from aftershocks decaying over days, with precise USGS magnitude thresholds and ongoing monitoring determining final resolution by August 16.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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