Recent announcements by Democratic incumbents have brought the total of House members not seeking re-election in 2026 to approximately 23, aligning closely with the market's leading 20–23 bracket. Key drivers include long-serving members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jerry Nadler, Jan Schakowsky, and Lloyd Doggett citing age, redistricting pressures in states like Texas, or transitions to other offices, alongside earlier departures tied to the post-2024 environment. Additional filings remain possible ahead of filing deadlines and primaries, supporting the secondary 24–27 range, while higher totals appear constrained by the current pace of retirements and the absence of a broader wave. Trader pricing reflects this observed count and the limited remaining window for new decisions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20–23 40.1%
24–27 37%
28–31 5.3%
40+ 4.9%
$45,460 वॉल्यूम
$45,460 वॉल्यूम
30 अग, 2026
<20
1%
20–23
40%
24–27
37%
28–31
5%
32–35
1%
36–39
<1%
40+
5%
20–23 40.1%
24–27 37%
28–31 5.3%
40+ 4.9%
$45,460 वॉल्यूम
$45,460 वॉल्यूम
30 अग, 2026
<20
$17,872 वॉल्यूम
1%
20–23
$9,903 वॉल्यूम
40%
24–27
$8,072 वॉल्यूम
37%
28–31
$1,956 वॉल्यूम
5%
32–35
$4,583 वॉल्यूम
1%
36–39
$1,365 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40+
$1,709 वॉल्यूम
5%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent announcements by Democratic incumbents have brought the total of House members not seeking re-election in 2026 to approximately 23, aligning closely with the market's leading 20–23 bracket. Key drivers include long-serving members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jerry Nadler, Jan Schakowsky, and Lloyd Doggett citing age, redistricting pressures in states like Texas, or transitions to other offices, alongside earlier departures tied to the post-2024 environment. Additional filings remain possible ahead of filing deadlines and primaries, supporting the secondary 24–27 range, while higher totals appear constrained by the current pace of retirements and the absence of a broader wave. Trader pricing reflects this observed count and the limited remaining window for new decisions.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$45,460समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent announcements by Democratic incumbents have brought the total of House members not seeking re-election in 2026 to approximately 23, aligning closely with the market's leading 20–23 bracket. Key drivers include long-serving members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jerry Nadler, Jan Schakowsky, and Lloyd Doggett citing age, redistricting pressures in states like Texas, or transitions to other offices, alongside earlier departures tied to the post-2024 environment. Additional filings remain possible ahead of filing deadlines and primaries, supporting the secondary 24–27 range, while higher totals appear constrained by the current pace of retirements and the absence of a broader wave. Trader pricing reflects this observed count and the limited remaining window for new decisions.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$45,460समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent announcements by Democratic incumbents have brought the total of House members not seeking re-election in 2026 to approximately 23, aligning closely with the market's leading 20–23 bracket. Key drivers include long-serving members such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, Jerry Nadler, Jan Schakowsky, and Lloyd Doggett citing age, redistricting pressures in states like Texas, or transitions to other offices, alongside earlier departures tied to the post-2024 environment. Additional filings remain possible ahead of filing deadlines and primaries, supporting the secondary 24–27 range, while higher totals appear constrained by the current pace of retirements and the absence of a broader wave. Trader pricing reflects this observed count and the limited remaining window for new decisions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में सेवानिवृत्त होने वाले रिपब्लिकन हाउस सदस्यों की संख्या 36 से 39 (दोनों सहित) के बीच होगी?
83%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में सेवानिवृत्त होने वाले रिपब्लिकन सीनेट सदस्यों की संख्या ठीक 7 होगी?
80%
हाँ
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
63%
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