Republican House retirements for the 2026 midterms currently stand near 36 to 37 members, with announcements accelerating in recent weeks amid a narrow GOP majority and midterm headwinds. Traders see this pace sustaining momentum toward the 36–39 or 40–43 ranges, while others weigh the potential for further exits driven by members pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, citing legislative gridlock and family considerations. Historical patterns show elevated retirements for the president's party in midterms, yet the exact total hinges on remaining filing deadlines and any late shifts in political environment. The close pricing across leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional incumbents will step aside before primary season solidifies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में कितने रिपब्लिकन हाउस सदस्य नहीं चल रहे हैं?
2026 में कितने रिपब्लिकन हाउस सदस्य नहीं चल रहे हैं?
44+ 40.3%
28–31 15%
32–35 <1%
<24 <1%
$56,541 वॉल्यूम
$56,541 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<24
<1%
24–27
<1%
28–31
15%
32–35
<1%
36–39
40%
40–43
38%
44+
40%
44+ 40.3%
28–31 15%
32–35 <1%
<24 <1%
$56,541 वॉल्यूम
$56,541 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<24
$3,907 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24–27
$18,964 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28–31
$21,831 वॉल्यूम
15%
32–35
$4,611 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36–39
$2,548 वॉल्यूम
40%
40–43
$2,077 वॉल्यूम
38%
44+
$2,602 वॉल्यूम
40%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican House retirements for the 2026 midterms currently stand near 36 to 37 members, with announcements accelerating in recent weeks amid a narrow GOP majority and midterm headwinds. Traders see this pace sustaining momentum toward the 36–39 or 40–43 ranges, while others weigh the potential for further exits driven by members pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, citing legislative gridlock and family considerations. Historical patterns show elevated retirements for the president's party in midterms, yet the exact total hinges on remaining filing deadlines and any late shifts in political environment. The close pricing across leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional incumbents will step aside before primary season solidifies.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$56,541समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican House retirements for the 2026 midterms currently stand near 36 to 37 members, with announcements accelerating in recent weeks amid a narrow GOP majority and midterm headwinds. Traders see this pace sustaining momentum toward the 36–39 or 40–43 ranges, while others weigh the potential for further exits driven by members pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, citing legislative gridlock and family considerations. Historical patterns show elevated retirements for the president's party in midterms, yet the exact total hinges on remaining filing deadlines and any late shifts in political environment. The close pricing across leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional incumbents will step aside before primary season solidifies.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Republican members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$56,541समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican House retirements for the 2026 midterms currently stand near 36 to 37 members, with announcements accelerating in recent weeks amid a narrow GOP majority and midterm headwinds. Traders see this pace sustaining momentum toward the 36–39 or 40–43 ranges, while others weigh the potential for further exits driven by members pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, citing legislative gridlock and family considerations. Historical patterns show elevated retirements for the president's party in midterms, yet the exact total hinges on remaining filing deadlines and any late shifts in political environment. The close pricing across leading outcomes reflects uncertainty over how many additional incumbents will step aside before primary season solidifies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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