As of mid-August 2026, approximately 23–25 Democratic House incumbents have announced they will not seek re-election, placing the leading market intervals of 20–23 and 24–27 in close contention. Key drivers include long-serving members retiring outright—such as Nancy Pelosi—and others pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, amid a broader wave of departures tied to tenure, age demographics, and post-2024 electoral shifts. The tight spread reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines and potential late announcements influenced by redistricting effects, primary dynamics, or individual career calculations. Additional high-profile exits or decisions to stay could widen the gap by altering the final tally before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20–23 42.0%
24–27 39%
28–31 10%
32–35 6.6%
$39,247 वॉल्यूम
$39,247 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<20
6%
20–23
42%
24–27
39%
28–31
10%
32–35
7%
36–39
3%
40+
1%
20–23 42.0%
24–27 39%
28–31 10%
32–35 6.6%
$39,247 वॉल्यूम
$39,247 वॉल्यूम
31 अग, 2026
<20
$17,554 वॉल्यूम
6%
20–23
$7,593 वॉल्यूम
42%
24–27
$5,747 वॉल्यूम
39%
28–31
$1,637 वॉल्यूम
10%
32–35
$4,236 वॉल्यूम
7%
36–39
$1,100 वॉल्यूम
3%
40+
$1,380 वॉल्यूम
1%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of mid-August 2026, approximately 23–25 Democratic House incumbents have announced they will not seek re-election, placing the leading market intervals of 20–23 and 24–27 in close contention. Key drivers include long-serving members retiring outright—such as Nancy Pelosi—and others pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, amid a broader wave of departures tied to tenure, age demographics, and post-2024 electoral shifts. The tight spread reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines and potential late announcements influenced by redistricting effects, primary dynamics, or individual career calculations. Additional high-profile exits or decisions to stay could widen the gap by altering the final tally before the November 2026 general election.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,247समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.As of mid-August 2026, approximately 23–25 Democratic House incumbents have announced they will not seek re-election, placing the leading market intervals of 20–23 and 24–27 in close contention. Key drivers include long-serving members retiring outright—such as Nancy Pelosi—and others pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, amid a broader wave of departures tied to tenure, age demographics, and post-2024 electoral shifts. The tight spread reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines and potential late announcements influenced by redistricting effects, primary dynamics, or individual career calculations. Additional high-profile exits or decisions to stay could widen the gap by altering the final tally before the November 2026 general election.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$39,247समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...As of mid-August 2026, approximately 23–25 Democratic House incumbents have announced they will not seek re-election, placing the leading market intervals of 20–23 and 24–27 in close contention. Key drivers include long-serving members retiring outright—such as Nancy Pelosi—and others pursuing Senate or gubernatorial bids, amid a broader wave of departures tied to tenure, age demographics, and post-2024 electoral shifts. The tight spread reflects ongoing uncertainty ahead of filing deadlines and potential late announcements influenced by redistricting effects, primary dynamics, or individual career calculations. Additional high-profile exits or decisions to stay could widen the gap by altering the final tally before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में सेवानिवृत्त होने वाले रिपब्लिकन हाउस सदस्यों की संख्या 36 से 39 (दोनों सहित) के बीच होगी?
84%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में सेवानिवृत्त होने वाले रिपब्लिकन सीनेट सदस्यों की संख्या ठीक 7 होगी?
78%
हाँ
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
69%
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न