**Trader consensus centers on 400-500k deportations for calendar or fiscal 2026 because ICE removals through mid-July reached 356k at a sustained pace of roughly 1,200 per day, projecting a full-year total near or modestly above recent records.** Arrests have surged to monthly highs near 50,000 amid expanded interior enforcement, increased detention capacity, and funding from the 2025 enforcement legislation, yet deportations have not accelerated proportionally due to processing limits, court constraints, and logistical factors. Administration statements highlight progress toward higher targets while independent tracking shows FY2026 on track to approach but not dramatically exceed the Obama-era peak of 438k. Self-deportation initiatives and third-country removals add volume claims but do not alter core official removal counts. Recent arrest spikes have not shifted the daily deportation rate enough to move probabilities outside the 400-500k band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में ट्रम्प कितने लोगों को निर्वासित करेंगे?
2026 में ट्रम्प कितने लोगों को निर्वासित करेंगे?
400-500 हज़ार 65%
3-4 लाख 16%
500-600 हजार 15.4%
>1m 2.1%
$123,594 वॉल्यूम
$123,594 वॉल्यूम
<200k
2%
2 से 3 लाख
1%
3-4 लाख
16%
400-500 हज़ार
65%
500-600 हजार
15%
600-700 हजार
2%
700-800 हजार
1%
8-9 लाख
1%
9 लाख - 10 लाख
1%
>1m
2%
400-500 हज़ार 65%
3-4 लाख 16%
500-600 हजार 15.4%
>1m 2.1%
$123,594 वॉल्यूम
$123,594 वॉल्यूम
<200k
2%
2 से 3 लाख
1%
3-4 लाख
16%
400-500 हज़ार
65%
500-600 हजार
15%
600-700 हजार
2%
700-800 हजार
1%
8-9 लाख
1%
9 लाख - 10 लाख
1%
>1m
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus centers on 400-500k deportations for calendar or fiscal 2026 because ICE removals through mid-July reached 356k at a sustained pace of roughly 1,200 per day, projecting a full-year total near or modestly above recent records.** Arrests have surged to monthly highs near 50,000 amid expanded interior enforcement, increased detention capacity, and funding from the 2025 enforcement legislation, yet deportations have not accelerated proportionally due to processing limits, court constraints, and logistical factors. Administration statements highlight progress toward higher targets while independent tracking shows FY2026 on track to approach but not dramatically exceed the Obama-era peak of 438k. Self-deportation initiatives and third-country removals add volume claims but do not alter core official removal counts. Recent arrest spikes have not shifted the daily deportation rate enough to move probabilities outside the 400-500k band.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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