Official records, including the 2019 autopsy, New York City medical examiner ruling, and multiple Department of Justice and FBI investigations, established Jeffrey Epstein's death by suicide in federal custody. Recent 2026 file releases, including graphic post-mortem images and internal prison documents, have reinforced this determination without introducing contradictory evidence. Persistent social media claims, such as AI-generated images or debunked sightings, have failed to produce verifiable proof of life, sustaining broad trader consensus on the low probability of confirmation before 2027. Market pricing reflects this accumulated evidentiary record from primary government sources. Remote factors that could still shift odds include an authenticated DNA match or an unprecedented official reversal of the medical findings within the remaining months of 2026, though no such developments have materialized.