Recent polling averages ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party frequently edging or tying Netanyahu’s Likud as the largest single faction, with Yashar projected around 22–25 seats versus Likud’s 20–23. The opposition Zionist bloc, anchored by Yashar, has demonstrated narrow pathways to a 61-seat majority in multiple surveys, sometimes without Arab parties, while Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near or below that threshold. Campaign developments, including Yashar’s youth-focused platform on security, housing, and military pay, alongside final slate submissions and bloc negotiations involving potential kingmakers such as the Hendel-Zelekha slate, have sustained trader focus on Yashar’s edge in forming the next government. The race remains fluid, with bloc totals often tied near 52 seats each.