**The @khamenei_ir account, the primary official X handle associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, has maintained low posting volume since the March 2026 transition to Mojtaba Khamenei.** It primarily shares archival quotes on historical or religious themes rather than issuing frequent new statements, resulting in trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts for the August 14–21 window. Recent activity shows sporadic reposts of older content, with several entries in early August tied to commemorations like Arbaeen but no surge in new material. Mojtaba Khamenei's public presence remains limited, including an undated video released around August 10, without corresponding increases in account output. This pattern of infrequent, non-daily updates—consistent with post-transition operations—underpins the 69.5% probability on under five posts and the sharp drop-off for higher buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKhamenei # posts 14 अगस्त - 21 अगस्त, 2026?
Khamenei # posts 14 अगस्त - 21 अगस्त, 2026?
<5 71%
5-9 18%
10-14 6%
15-19 <1%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
<5
71%
5-9
18%
10-14
6%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 71%
5-9 18%
10-14 6%
15-19 <1%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
<5
$3,878 वॉल्यूम
71%
5-9
$682 वॉल्यूम
18%
10-14
$410 वॉल्यूम
6%
15-19
$297 वॉल्यूम
1%
20-24
$187 वॉल्यूम
1%
25-29
$137 वॉल्यूम
1%
30-34
$137 वॉल्यूम
1%
35-39
$147 वॉल्यूम
1%
40-44
$151 वॉल्यूम
1%
45-49
$111 वॉल्यूम
1%
50-54
$159 वॉल्यूम
1%
55-59
$264 वॉल्यूम
1%
60+
$159 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The @khamenei_ir account, the primary official X handle associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, has maintained low posting volume since the March 2026 transition to Mojtaba Khamenei.** It primarily shares archival quotes on historical or religious themes rather than issuing frequent new statements, resulting in trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts for the August 14–21 window.
Recent activity shows sporadic reposts of older content, with several entries in early August tied to commemorations like Arbaeen but no surge in new material. Mojtaba Khamenei's public presence remains limited, including an undated video released around August 10, without corresponding increases in account output. This pattern of infrequent, non-daily updates—consistent with post-transition operations—underpins the 69.5% probability on under five posts and the sharp drop-off for higher buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,719समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The @khamenei_ir account, the primary official X handle associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, has maintained low posting volume since the March 2026 transition to Mojtaba Khamenei.** It primarily shares archival quotes on historical or religious themes rather than issuing frequent new statements, resulting in trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts for the August 14–21 window.
Recent activity shows sporadic reposts of older content, with several entries in early August tied to commemorations like Arbaeen but no surge in new material. Mojtaba Khamenei's public presence remains limited, including an undated video released around August 10, without corresponding increases in account output. This pattern of infrequent, non-daily updates—consistent with post-transition operations—underpins the 69.5% probability on under five posts and the sharp drop-off for higher buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$6,719समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The @khamenei_ir account, the primary official X handle associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, has maintained low posting volume since the March 2026 transition to Mojtaba Khamenei.** It primarily shares archival quotes on historical or religious themes rather than issuing frequent new statements, resulting in trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts for the August 14–21 window. Recent activity shows sporadic reposts of older content, with several entries in early August tied to commemorations like Arbaeen but no surge in new material. Mojtaba Khamenei's public presence remains limited, including an undated video released around August 10, without corresponding increases in account output. This pattern of infrequent, non-daily updates—consistent with post-transition operations—underpins the 69.5% probability on under five posts and the sharp drop-off for higher buckets.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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