The account associated with Iran's late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues to post infrequently on X, with recent activity limited to occasional archival statements or quotes rather than new content. This pattern, observed in early-to-mid August 2026 amid Mojtaba Khamenei's consolidation of leadership following the 2026 transition, supports trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window. Broader factors include the account's established low cadence outside major escalations, limited official Iranian state media emphasis on daily updates from the platform, and absence of scheduled high-profile events or diplomatic announcements likely to prompt additional output during that specific period. Higher-volume ranges reflect lower implied probabilities due to these structural posting habits.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKhamenei # posts 18 अगस्त - 25 अगस्त, 2026?
Khamenei # posts 18 अगस्त - 25 अगस्त, 2026?
<5 57%
5-9 30%
10-14 13%
30-34 9.0%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
<5
57%
5-9
30%
10-14
13%
15-19
7%
20-24
1%
25-29
8%
30-34
9%
35-39
7%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 57%
5-9 30%
10-14 13%
30-34 9.0%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
<5
$2,134 वॉल्यूम
57%
5-9
$349 वॉल्यूम
30%
10-14
$18 वॉल्यूम
13%
15-19
$13 वॉल्यूम
7%
20-24
$13 वॉल्यूम
1%
25-29
$13 वॉल्यूम
8%
30-34
$13 वॉल्यूम
9%
35-39
$13 वॉल्यूम
7%
40-44
$18 वॉल्यूम
1%
45-49
$18 वॉल्यूम
1%
50-54
$13 वॉल्यूम
1%
55-59
$13 वॉल्यूम
1%
60+
$13 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account associated with Iran's late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues to post infrequently on X, with recent activity limited to occasional archival statements or quotes rather than new content. This pattern, observed in early-to-mid August 2026 amid Mojtaba Khamenei's consolidation of leadership following the 2026 transition, supports trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window. Broader factors include the account's established low cadence outside major escalations, limited official Iranian state media emphasis on daily updates from the platform, and absence of scheduled high-profile events or diplomatic announcements likely to prompt additional output during that specific period. Higher-volume ranges reflect lower implied probabilities due to these structural posting habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,641समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account associated with Iran's late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues to post infrequently on X, with recent activity limited to occasional archival statements or quotes rather than new content. This pattern, observed in early-to-mid August 2026 amid Mojtaba Khamenei's consolidation of leadership following the 2026 transition, supports trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window. Broader factors include the account's established low cadence outside major escalations, limited official Iranian state media emphasis on daily updates from the platform, and absence of scheduled high-profile events or diplomatic announcements likely to prompt additional output during that specific period. Higher-volume ranges reflect lower implied probabilities due to these structural posting habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$2,641समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The account associated with Iran's late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei continues to post infrequently on X, with recent activity limited to occasional archival statements or quotes rather than new content. This pattern, observed in early-to-mid August 2026 amid Mojtaba Khamenei's consolidation of leadership following the 2026 transition, supports trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window. Broader factors include the account's established low cadence outside major escalations, limited official Iranian state media emphasis on daily updates from the platform, and absence of scheduled high-profile events or diplomatic announcements likely to prompt additional output during that specific period. Higher-volume ranges reflect lower implied probabilities due to these structural posting habits.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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