Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado holds commanding trader consensus at 93.7% implied probability to win Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by key recent endorsements and field consolidation in the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid. On May 12, rival Adam Perez Arquette dropped out and endorsed Alvarado, boosting momentum alongside President Trump's May 1 backing, U.S. Chamber of Commerce support, and strong fundraising. Internal polling shows Alvarado leading at 32% over Ryan Dotson (11%) and others. With early and absentee voting underway, upset scenarios remain limited to a late scandal, suppressed turnout favoring underdogs, or unexpected voter shifts in this closed primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाराल्फ अल्वाराडो 93.7%
एडम पेरेज़ आर्क्वेट 2.5%
गेविन सोलोमन 1.9%
ग्रेग प्लुचिन्स्की <1%
$24,434 वॉल्यूम
$24,434 वॉल्यूम
19 मई, 2026
राल्फ अल्वाराडो
94%
एडम पेरेज़ आर्क्वेट
2%
गेविन सोलोमन
2%
ग्रेग प्लुचिन्स्की
1%
रयान डॉटसन
1%
राल्फ अल्वाराडो 93.7%
एडम पेरेज़ आर्क्वेट 2.5%
गेविन सोलोमन 1.9%
ग्रेग प्लुचिन्स्की <1%
$24,434 वॉल्यूम
$24,434 वॉल्यूम
19 मई, 2026
राल्फ अल्वाराडो
$11,110 वॉल्यूम
94%
एडम पेरेज़ आर्क्वेट
$1,792 वॉल्यूम
2%
गेविन सोलोमन
$1,604 वॉल्यूम
2%
ग्रेग प्लुचिन्स्की
$1,055 वॉल्यूम
1%
रयान डॉटसन
$8,873 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado holds commanding trader consensus at 93.7% implied probability to win Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by key recent endorsements and field consolidation in the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid. On May 12, rival Adam Perez Arquette dropped out and endorsed Alvarado, boosting momentum alongside President Trump's May 1 backing, U.S. Chamber of Commerce support, and strong fundraising. Internal polling shows Alvarado leading at 32% over Ryan Dotson (11%) and others. With early and absentee voting underway, upset scenarios remain limited to a late scandal, suppressed turnout favoring underdogs, or unexpected voter shifts in this closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,434समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado holds commanding trader consensus at 93.7% implied probability to win Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by key recent endorsements and field consolidation in the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid. On May 12, rival Adam Perez Arquette dropped out and endorsed Alvarado, boosting momentum alongside President Trump's May 1 backing, U.S. Chamber of Commerce support, and strong fundraising. Internal polling shows Alvarado leading at 32% over Ryan Dotson (11%) and others. With early and absentee voting underway, upset scenarios remain limited to a late scandal, suppressed turnout favoring underdogs, or unexpected voter shifts in this closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$24,434समाप्ति तिथि
19 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado holds commanding trader consensus at 93.7% implied probability to win Kentucky's 6th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by key recent endorsements and field consolidation in the open seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid. On May 12, rival Adam Perez Arquette dropped out and endorsed Alvarado, boosting momentum alongside President Trump's May 1 backing, U.S. Chamber of Commerce support, and strong fundraising. Internal polling shows Alvarado leading at 32% over Ryan Dotson (11%) and others. With early and absentee voting underway, upset scenarios remain limited to a late scandal, suppressed turnout favoring underdogs, or unexpected voter shifts in this closed primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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