South Korea’s Democratic Party of Korea holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, well short of the two-thirds majority required to pass an impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung. Opposition parties lack the cross-aisle defections needed to reach the 200-vote threshold, and no credible coalition has formed despite Lee’s approval rating falling to the low 30s amid cabinet controversies and housing-policy criticism. A June 2026 citizen petition exceeded signature thresholds but stalled in committee given the ruling party’s control. Internal Democratic Party tensions have surfaced, yet leaders have publicly rejected any realistic impeachment path. With roughly three months left in 2026 and no scheduled votes or scandals altering the arithmetic, traders price the outcome as highly unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
6% संभावना
$21,783 वॉल्यूम
$21,783 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
6% संभावना
$21,783 वॉल्यूम
$21,783 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party of Korea holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, well short of the two-thirds majority required to pass an impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung. Opposition parties lack the cross-aisle defections needed to reach the 200-vote threshold, and no credible coalition has formed despite Lee’s approval rating falling to the low 30s amid cabinet controversies and housing-policy criticism. A June 2026 citizen petition exceeded signature thresholds but stalled in committee given the ruling party’s control. Internal Democratic Party tensions have surfaced, yet leaders have publicly rejected any realistic impeachment path. With roughly three months left in 2026 and no scheduled votes or scandals altering the arithmetic, traders price the outcome as highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,783समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party of Korea holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, well short of the two-thirds majority required to pass an impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung. Opposition parties lack the cross-aisle defections needed to reach the 200-vote threshold, and no credible coalition has formed despite Lee’s approval rating falling to the low 30s amid cabinet controversies and housing-policy criticism. A June 2026 citizen petition exceeded signature thresholds but stalled in committee given the ruling party’s control. Internal Democratic Party tensions have surfaced, yet leaders have publicly rejected any realistic impeachment path. With roughly three months left in 2026 and no scheduled votes or scandals altering the arithmetic, traders price the outcome as highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
वॉल्यूम
$21,783समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s Democratic Party of Korea holds 161 of 300 National Assembly seats, well short of the two-thirds majority required to pass an impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung. Opposition parties lack the cross-aisle defections needed to reach the 200-vote threshold, and no credible coalition has formed despite Lee’s approval rating falling to the low 30s amid cabinet controversies and housing-policy criticism. A June 2026 citizen petition exceeded signature thresholds but stalled in committee given the ruling party’s control. Internal Democratic Party tensions have surfaced, yet leaders have publicly rejected any realistic impeachment path. With roughly three months left in 2026 and no scheduled votes or scandals altering the arithmetic, traders price the outcome as highly unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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