Forecast models indicate the overnight low in Austin on September 18 will hinge on radiative cooling efficiency under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and dew points near 72°F, which limit temperature drops despite the broader heat wave. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster the minimum in the low to mid-70s, aligning with trader emphasis on the closely matched 70-71°F and 72-73°F outcomes that together imply roughly 79% probability. Elevated humidity and urban heat island effects in central Texas have narrowed the range compared to drier historical analogs, where September 18 lows averaged 67°F. Any late-night wind shift or unexpected cloud increase could push readings toward 74°F or above, while stronger decoupling would favor the lower bin; final Austin-Bergstrom International Airport observations will determine resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे कम तापमान?
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 19%
67°F या उससे कम 4%
74-75°F <1%
67°F या उससे कम
4%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 19%
67°F या उससे कम 4%
74-75°F <1%
67°F या उससे कम
4%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate the overnight low in Austin on September 18 will hinge on radiative cooling efficiency under mostly clear skies, light southeast winds, and dew points near 72°F, which limit temperature drops despite the broader heat wave. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs cluster the minimum in the low to mid-70s, aligning with trader emphasis on the closely matched 70-71°F and 72-73°F outcomes that together imply roughly 79% probability. Elevated humidity and urban heat island effects in central Texas have narrowed the range compared to drier historical analogs, where September 18 lows averaged 67°F. Any late-night wind shift or unexpected cloud increase could push readings toward 74°F or above, while stronger decoupling would favor the lower bin; final Austin-Bergstrom International Airport observations will determine resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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