Trader consensus shows tightly clustered implied probabilities around 9–12°C for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 22, driven by ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models. Primary factors include the strength and timing of an approaching cold front, clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, and southeasterly wind patterns that moderate minimums over the Cape Peninsula. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime lows near 10°C, but small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Official minimums reported by the South African Weather Service will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
7°C 36%
11°C 33%
10°C 31%
14°C 29%
6°C या उससे कम
2%
7°C
36%
8°C
21%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
33%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
29%
15°C
7%
16°C या उससे अधिक
2%
7°C 36%
11°C 33%
10°C 31%
14°C 29%
6°C या उससे कम
2%
7°C
36%
8°C
21%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
33%
12°C
26%
13°C
22%
14°C
29%
15°C
7%
16°C या उससे अधिक
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows tightly clustered implied probabilities around 9–12°C for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 22, driven by ensemble forecast spreads from global and regional models. Primary factors include the strength and timing of an approaching cold front, clear-sky radiative cooling overnight, and southeasterly wind patterns that moderate minimums over the Cape Peninsula. Historical August climatology places typical nighttime lows near 10°C, but small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Official minimums reported by the South African Weather Service will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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