Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate persistent hot, humid conditions over Chongqing with afternoon thunderstorms possible through August 25, keeping overnight radiative cooling limited and supporting minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. Trader equilibrium around the 21°C-or-below and 31°C-or-higher thresholds reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cloud cover, humidity levels, and any localized rainfall timing that could shift the low by a few degrees. Historical August baselines for the city show typical lows in the mid-20s°C under similar subtropical monsoon patterns, with model consensus currently favoring values clustered near 27°C; updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration or ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread in implied probabilities.