**The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a 28°C low on August 29, 2026, reflects direct observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily minimum of approximately 28.3°C.** Late-summer conditions featured typical subtropical humidity and cloud cover that limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from dropping further. Hourly records confirm the low occurred in the early morning hours before daytime heating pushed readings back above 30°C. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for late August, where minimums rarely fall below the upper 20s without stronger frontal influences or clearer skies. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-event data revisions by the HKO (rare for automated stations) or use of a non-standard reference site, though trader consensus on the primary observatory reading makes such shifts improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
29 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
28°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,537 वॉल्यूम
$24,537 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,537 वॉल्यूम
$24,537 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$273 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$209 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$1,058 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$3,312 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$3,011 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$2,372 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$10,137 वॉल्यूम
100%
29°C
$3,258 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$421 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$238 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a 28°C low on August 29, 2026, reflects direct observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily minimum of approximately 28.3°C.**
Late-summer conditions featured typical subtropical humidity and cloud cover that limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from dropping further. Hourly records confirm the low occurred in the early morning hours before daytime heating pushed readings back above 30°C. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for late August, where minimums rarely fall below the upper 20s without stronger frontal influences or clearer skies.
The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-event data revisions by the HKO (rare for automated stations) or use of a non-standard reference site, though trader consensus on the primary observatory reading makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,537समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a 28°C low on August 29, 2026, reflects direct observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily minimum of approximately 28.3°C.**
Late-summer conditions featured typical subtropical humidity and cloud cover that limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from dropping further. Hourly records confirm the low occurred in the early morning hours before daytime heating pushed readings back above 30°C. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for late August, where minimums rarely fall below the upper 20s without stronger frontal influences or clearer skies.
The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-event data revisions by the HKO (rare for automated stations) or use of a non-standard reference site, though trader consensus on the primary observatory reading makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$24,537समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for a 28°C low on August 29, 2026, reflects direct observational data from the Hong Kong Observatory showing a daily minimum of approximately 28.3°C.** Late-summer conditions featured typical subtropical humidity and cloud cover that limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight temperatures from dropping further. Hourly records confirm the low occurred in the early morning hours before daytime heating pushed readings back above 30°C. This outcome aligns with climatological norms for late August, where minimums rarely fall below the upper 20s without stronger frontal influences or clearer skies. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve post-event data revisions by the HKO (rare for automated stations) or use of a non-standard reference site, though trader consensus on the primary observatory reading makes such shifts improbable.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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