**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, at 88.5% implied probability.** Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models consistently project overnight lows of 26–27°C under typical late-September tropical conditions, with light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight readings holding above 26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the period. No significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are indicated, keeping probabilities for 26°C or lower below 10% combined. Market-implied odds reflect this model agreement and the narrow expected range for minimum temperature resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
21 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 94%
25°C 7%
26°C 5%
22°C या उससे कम 2%
नया
$10,417 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,417 वॉल्यूम
21 सित, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
27°C 94%
25°C 7%
26°C 5%
22°C या उससे कम 2%
नया
$10,417 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,417 वॉल्यूम
21 सित, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
$37 वॉल्यूम
2%
23°C
$531 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$234 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$560 वॉल्यूम
7%
26°C
$1,136 वॉल्यूम
5%
27°C
$3,304 वॉल्यूम
94%
28°C
$3,563 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$82 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$481 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$484 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
$4 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, at 88.5% implied probability.** Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models consistently project overnight lows of 26–27°C under typical late-September tropical conditions, with light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight readings holding above 26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the period. No significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are indicated, keeping probabilities for 26°C or lower below 10% combined. Market-implied odds reflect this model agreement and the narrow expected range for minimum temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,417समाप्ति तिथि
21 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, at 88.5% implied probability.** Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models consistently project overnight lows of 26–27°C under typical late-September tropical conditions, with light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight readings holding above 26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the period. No significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are indicated, keeping probabilities for 26°C or lower below 10% combined. Market-implied odds reflect this model agreement and the narrow expected range for minimum temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$10,417समाप्ति तिथि
21 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Hong Kong on September 21, 2026, at 88.5% implied probability.** Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models consistently project overnight lows of 26–27°C under typical late-September tropical conditions, with light easterly or southeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show daytime highs near 29–31°C and overnight readings holding above 26°C, aligning with climatological norms for the period. No significant cold advection or unusual atmospheric patterns are indicated, keeping probabilities for 26°C or lower below 10% combined. Market-implied odds reflect this model agreement and the narrow expected range for minimum temperature resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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