**Latest forecasts from global models such as GFS place Istanbul’s overnight low near 21–22°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the market’s strong preference for 22°C at 57% implied probability.** Stable high pressure and the absence of significant frontal systems or cloud cover have kept temperatures above the early-September climatological minimum of roughly 17°C, with current observations showing early-morning readings already in the low-22°C range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, and no rapid cooling is expected before dawn on September 4. Traders are therefore assigning only modest probability to 20°C (14%) and very low odds to 17°C or below (5.2%), reflecting both the model consensus and the short time remaining until the daily minimum is recorded by official stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर को इस्तांबुल में सबसे कम तापमान?
22°C 99%
20°C 20%
21°C 5%
18°C 1.0%
$3,224 वॉल्यूम
$3,224 वॉल्यूम
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 99%
20°C 20%
21°C 5%
18°C 1.0%
$3,224 वॉल्यूम
$3,224 वॉल्यूम
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
**Latest forecasts from global models such as GFS place Istanbul’s overnight low near 21–22°C under mostly clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting the market’s strong preference for 22°C at 57% implied probability.** Stable high pressure and the absence of significant frontal systems or cloud cover have kept temperatures above the early-September climatological minimum of roughly 17°C, with current observations showing early-morning readings already in the low-22°C range. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, and no rapid cooling is expected before dawn on September 4. Traders are therefore assigning only modest probability to 20°C (14%) and very low odds to 17°C or below (5.2%), reflecting both the model consensus and the short time remaining until the daily minimum is recorded by official stations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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