Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF runs, place Madrid's overnight low for August 22 in the 17–19 °C range, producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include expected clear skies promoting radiative cooling, light winds limiting boundary-layer mixing, and the city's urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2 °C to minimum readings relative to rural sites. Late-August climatology shows average lows near 18 °C, so deviations hinge on small changes in cloud cover or advection within the final model updates. Trader consensus aggregates these probabilistic spreads, recognizing that even minor forecast adjustments before resolution can shift probabilities among the leading bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
22 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
18°C 37%
19°C 37%
17°C 23%
20°C 12%
नया
नया
22 अग, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
10%
17°C
27%
18°C
37%
19°C
37%
20°C
12%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 37%
19°C 37%
17°C 23%
20°C 12%
नया
नया
22 अग, 2026
13°C or below
$43 वॉल्यूम
1%
14°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
2%
15°C
$29 वॉल्यूम
8%
16°C
$75 वॉल्यूम
10%
17°C
$29 वॉल्यूम
27%
18°C
$58 वॉल्यूम
37%
19°C
$29 वॉल्यूम
37%
20°C
$29 वॉल्यूम
12%
21°C
$49 वॉल्यूम
7%
22°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
3%
23°C or higher
$23 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF runs, place Madrid's overnight low for August 22 in the 17–19 °C range, producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include expected clear skies promoting radiative cooling, light winds limiting boundary-layer mixing, and the city's urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2 °C to minimum readings relative to rural sites. Late-August climatology shows average lows near 18 °C, so deviations hinge on small changes in cloud cover or advection within the final model updates. Trader consensus aggregates these probabilistic spreads, recognizing that even minor forecast adjustments before resolution can shift probabilities among the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$413समाप्ति तिथि
22 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF runs, place Madrid's overnight low for August 22 in the 17–19 °C range, producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include expected clear skies promoting radiative cooling, light winds limiting boundary-layer mixing, and the city's urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2 °C to minimum readings relative to rural sites. Late-August climatology shows average lows near 18 °C, so deviations hinge on small changes in cloud cover or advection within the final model updates. Trader consensus aggregates these probabilistic spreads, recognizing that even minor forecast adjustments before resolution can shift probabilities among the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$413समाप्ति तिथि
22 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models, including ECMWF runs, place Madrid's overnight low for August 22 in the 17–19 °C range, producing the tight market clustering around those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include expected clear skies promoting radiative cooling, light winds limiting boundary-layer mixing, and the city's urban heat-island effect that can add 1–2 °C to minimum readings relative to rural sites. Late-August climatology shows average lows near 18 °C, so deviations hinge on small changes in cloud cover or advection within the final model updates. Trader consensus aggregates these probabilistic spreads, recognizing that even minor forecast adjustments before resolution can shift probabilities among the leading bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न