Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and AccuWeather points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid's late-summer continental climate, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C on August 27. The city's 650-meter elevation and low humidity enhance nocturnal heat loss, while a gradual seasonal decline from peak August averages (around 17°C) and any light southwesterly flow could moderate or slightly elevate readings. Trader odds cluster tightly in this range because short-range ensemble spreads show modest variability from cloud-cover or wind-speed differences, with higher outcomes like 21°C requiring stronger advection and lower ones like 15°C needing unusually clear, calm nights—both less probable given current patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया27 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
27 अगस्त को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C 54%
23°C or higher 50%
15°C 47%
20°C 46%
नया
नया
27 अग, 2026
13°C or below
37%
14°C
19%
15°C
47%
16°C
24%
17°C
29%
18°C
30%
19°C
25%
20°C
46%
21°C
54%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
50%
21°C 54%
23°C or higher 50%
15°C 47%
20°C 46%
नया
नया
27 अग, 2026
13°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
37%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
47%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
30%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
46%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
54%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
23°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and AccuWeather points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid's late-summer continental climate, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C on August 27. The city's 650-meter elevation and low humidity enhance nocturnal heat loss, while a gradual seasonal decline from peak August averages (around 17°C) and any light southwesterly flow could moderate or slightly elevate readings. Trader odds cluster tightly in this range because short-range ensemble spreads show modest variability from cloud-cover or wind-speed differences, with higher outcomes like 21°C requiring stronger advection and lower ones like 15°C needing unusually clear, calm nights—both less probable given current patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
27 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and AccuWeather points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid's late-summer continental climate, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C on August 27. The city's 650-meter elevation and low humidity enhance nocturnal heat loss, while a gradual seasonal decline from peak August averages (around 17°C) and any light southwesterly flow could moderate or slightly elevate readings. Trader odds cluster tightly in this range because short-range ensemble spreads show modest variability from cloud-cover or wind-speed differences, with higher outcomes like 21°C requiring stronger advection and lower ones like 15°C needing unusually clear, calm nights—both less probable given current patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
27 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and AccuWeather points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, dry conditions typical of Madrid's late-summer continental climate, with minimum temperatures likely settling near 17–18°C on August 27. The city's 650-meter elevation and low humidity enhance nocturnal heat loss, while a gradual seasonal decline from peak August averages (around 17°C) and any light southwesterly flow could moderate or slightly elevate readings. Trader odds cluster tightly in this range because short-range ensemble spreads show modest variability from cloud-cover or wind-speed differences, with higher outcomes like 21°C requiring stronger advection and lower ones like 15°C needing unusually clear, calm nights—both less probable given current patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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