Traders assign near-certainty to a 14°C low in Madrid on September 12 because official AEMET forecasts and ensemble model runs show overnight temperatures stabilizing at that level under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This pattern has suppressed cooler northerly flow and kept dew points supportive of minimal radiative cooling, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. With the observation window now active, real-time station data align closely with model guidance, narrowing the range of possible outcomes. An unexpected shift in boundary-layer moisture or a brief clear-sky radiative spike could still produce a slightly lower reading, though current conditions make such deviations improbable before midnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
14°C 100.0%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$596 वॉल्यूम
$596 वॉल्यूम
11°C या उससे कम
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
हाँ
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C या अधिक
नहीं
14°C 100.0%
11°C या उससे कम <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$596 वॉल्यूम
$596 वॉल्यूम
11°C या उससे कम
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
हाँ
15°C
नहीं
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C या अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Traders assign near-certainty to a 14°C low in Madrid on September 12 because official AEMET forecasts and ensemble model runs show overnight temperatures stabilizing at that level under a persistent high-pressure ridge. This pattern has suppressed cooler northerly flow and kept dew points supportive of minimal radiative cooling, consistent with early-autumn climatology for the region. With the observation window now active, real-time station data align closely with model guidance, narrowing the range of possible outcomes. An unexpected shift in boundary-layer moisture or a brief clear-sky radiative spike could still produce a slightly lower reading, though current conditions make such deviations improbable before midnight.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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