Latest AEMET and global model consensus point to clear skies, light northeast winds, and radiative cooling overnight on September 14, with minimum temperatures forecast near 17–20 °C at Madrid stations. Ensemble spreads and historical September climatology (average low ~15.7 °C) keep the possibility of readings at or below 16 °C prominent in trader assessments, especially if boundary-layer mixing weakens more than expected. Recent runs show little change in the warm daytime ridge but modest downward revisions to dawn lows, reinforcing the 71.5 % market-implied odds for the coolest bin while leaving room for upward adjustments if guidance shifts warmer before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C या उससे कम 73%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
17°C 24%
16°C या उससे कम
73%
17°C
24%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C या अधिक
2%
16°C या उससे कम 73%
18°C 39%
19°C 39%
17°C 24%
16°C या उससे कम
73%
17°C
24%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
14%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C या अधिक
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET and global model consensus point to clear skies, light northeast winds, and radiative cooling overnight on September 14, with minimum temperatures forecast near 17–20 °C at Madrid stations. Ensemble spreads and historical September climatology (average low ~15.7 °C) keep the possibility of readings at or below 16 °C prominent in trader assessments, especially if boundary-layer mixing weakens more than expected. Recent runs show little change in the warm daytime ridge but modest downward revisions to dawn lows, reinforcing the 71.5 % market-implied odds for the coolest bin while leaving room for upward adjustments if guidance shifts warmer before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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