Recent forecast updates from regional models highlight a Baltic cyclone driving cooler, moist air into Moscow, with overnight lows on August 22 expected near 11–14°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers. This follows cooler readings of 14–16°C on the 21st, when widespread rain limited radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to uncertainties in cloud persistence and wind speed, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Trader sentiment clusters around the 11–16°C range because current runs place the minimum in that band, though a clearer sky or stronger advection could shift it higher while persistent moisture favors the lower end. Updated model runs and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे कम तापमान?
6°C or below 59%
14°C 42%
12°C 41%
13°C 41%
6°C or below
59%
7°C
25%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
29%
11°C
40%
12°C
41%
13°C
41%
14°C
42%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
38%
6°C or below 59%
14°C 42%
12°C 41%
13°C 41%
6°C or below
59%
7°C
25%
8°C
40%
9°C
39%
10°C
29%
11°C
40%
12°C
41%
13°C
41%
14°C
42%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from regional models highlight a Baltic cyclone driving cooler, moist air into Moscow, with overnight lows on August 22 expected near 11–14°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers. This follows cooler readings of 14–16°C on the 21st, when widespread rain limited radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to uncertainties in cloud persistence and wind speed, which influence how much heat escapes overnight. Trader sentiment clusters around the 11–16°C range because current runs place the minimum in that band, though a clearer sky or stronger advection could shift it higher while persistent moisture favors the lower end. Updated model runs and official Russian meteorological briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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