Persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and moderate northwesterly winds are moderating temperatures across Munich on September 9, 2026, with official forecasts pointing to a daily minimum near 10–13 °C. These conditions limit daytime heating and promote gradual overnight radiative cooling under a moist air mass, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–14 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in the timing and intensity of showers, which can either enhance cooling through evaporation or briefly interrupt it with warmer advection. Historical September averages near 11 °C provide context, while the current unsettled pattern—driven by a passing frontal system—explains why traders assign only modest odds to extremes below 10 °C or above 15 °C. Updated regional model runs and surface observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 सितंबर को म्यूनिख में सबसे कम तापमान?
11°C 48%
13°C 47%
14°C 47%
12°C 46%
8°C या उससे कम
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
48%
12°C
46%
13°C
47%
14°C
47%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
4%
18°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
11°C 48%
13°C 47%
14°C 47%
12°C 46%
8°C या उससे कम
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
48%
12°C
46%
13°C
47%
14°C
47%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
4%
18°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain, extensive cloud cover, and moderate northwesterly winds are moderating temperatures across Munich on September 9, 2026, with official forecasts pointing to a daily minimum near 10–13 °C. These conditions limit daytime heating and promote gradual overnight radiative cooling under a moist air mass, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 11–14 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in the timing and intensity of showers, which can either enhance cooling through evaporation or briefly interrupt it with warmer advection. Historical September averages near 11 °C provide context, while the current unsettled pattern—driven by a passing frontal system—explains why traders assign only modest odds to extremes below 10 °C or above 15 °C. Updated regional model runs and surface observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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