**Clear, calm conditions under high pressure are driving the strong market consensus toward a 64-65°F daily minimum in New York City on August 29, 2026.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations project a high near 78°F with mostly sunny skies, followed by radiational cooling overnight under light northerly to southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors efficient heat loss from the surface after sunset, producing a minimum in the mid-60s—aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 66.4°F for the date. Recent days show similar patterns, with Central Park minima of 63–68°F amid fair weather and no significant frontal passages or moisture. Model consensus (including GFS guidance) supports limited variability, keeping the probability of extremes below 5%. The only realistic paths to a meaningfully lower minimum (62°F or below) would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or a sharper-than-forecast drop in dew points, neither of which current observations or short-range guidance indicate. A warmer outcome is even less likely given the stable high-pressure regime.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
64-65°F 98%
62-63°F 6%
60-61°F 1.9%
66-67°F <1%
$6,683 वॉल्यूम
$6,683 वॉल्यूम
55°F या उससे कम
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
98%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
64-65°F 98%
62-63°F 6%
60-61°F 1.9%
66-67°F <1%
$6,683 वॉल्यूम
$6,683 वॉल्यूम
55°F या उससे कम
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
98%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, calm conditions under high pressure are driving the strong market consensus toward a 64-65°F daily minimum in New York City on August 29, 2026.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations project a high near 78°F with mostly sunny skies, followed by radiational cooling overnight under light northerly to southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors efficient heat loss from the surface after sunset, producing a minimum in the mid-60s—aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 66.4°F for the date. Recent days show similar patterns, with Central Park minima of 63–68°F amid fair weather and no significant frontal passages or moisture. Model consensus (including GFS guidance) supports limited variability, keeping the probability of extremes below 5%. The only realistic paths to a meaningfully lower minimum (62°F or below) would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or a sharper-than-forecast drop in dew points, neither of which current observations or short-range guidance indicate. A warmer outcome is even less likely given the stable high-pressure regime.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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