Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30%) for Seoul's May 15 lowest temperature, reflecting tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models alongside Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance projecting overnight minimums near 15°C amid a 1-2°C spread. Clear skies and light winds on May 14 promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26-28°C, but southerly maritime air from the Yellow Sea and Seoul's urban heat island effect temper deeper drops, favoring the warmer end of historical mid-May lows (median 14-15°C at Seoul Central Observatory). Recent spring 2026 warming trends reinforce this positioning; KMA short-range updates through evening will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 मई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 मई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 32%
16°C 26%
14°C 7%
13°C 3.5%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
41%
16°C
26%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
15°C 32%
16°C 26%
14°C 7%
13°C 3.5%
नया
नया
15 मई, 2026
11°C या उससे कम
$1,332 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$819 वॉल्यूम
2%
13°C
$635 वॉल्यूम
3%
14°C
$401 वॉल्यूम
7%
15°C
$206 वॉल्यूम
41%
16°C
$119 वॉल्यूम
26%
17°C
$230 वॉल्यूम
3%
18°C
$762 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$698 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$768 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C या उससे अधिक
$3,581 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30%) for Seoul's May 15 lowest temperature, reflecting tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models alongside Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance projecting overnight minimums near 15°C amid a 1-2°C spread. Clear skies and light winds on May 14 promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26-28°C, but southerly maritime air from the Yellow Sea and Seoul's urban heat island effect temper deeper drops, favoring the warmer end of historical mid-May lows (median 14-15°C at Seoul Central Observatory). Recent spring 2026 warming trends reinforce this positioning; KMA short-range updates through evening will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,531समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30%) for Seoul's May 15 lowest temperature, reflecting tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models alongside Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance projecting overnight minimums near 15°C amid a 1-2°C spread. Clear skies and light winds on May 14 promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26-28°C, but southerly maritime air from the Yellow Sea and Seoul's urban heat island effect temper deeper drops, favoring the warmer end of historical mid-May lows (median 14-15°C at Seoul Central Observatory). Recent spring 2026 warming trends reinforce this positioning; KMA short-range updates through evening will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$9,531समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30%) for Seoul's May 15 lowest temperature, reflecting tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models alongside Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance projecting overnight minimums near 15°C amid a 1-2°C spread. Clear skies and light winds on May 14 promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26-28°C, but southerly maritime air from the Yellow Sea and Seoul's urban heat island effect temper deeper drops, favoring the warmer end of historical mid-May lows (median 14-15°C at Seoul Central Observatory). Recent spring 2026 warming trends reinforce this positioning; KMA short-range updates through evening will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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