Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seoul's May 17 minimum temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 14–22°C outcomes at 24–26% each, driven by discrepancies across forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global ensembles. KMA's latest short-range guidance projects a 16°C low under clear skies and light winds, favoring mid-teens results, but recent observations of anomalously cool nights—such as 11°C on May 6 and 12°C implied for May 7—signal persistent cool air advection from the north, potentially enhancing nocturnal radiational cooling. Historical mid-May averages hover near 13°C, tempered by Seoul's urban heat island, while variables like cloud development or southerly flow shifts could differentiate outcomes by 2–3°C. Daily KMA updates through May 16 will likely sharpen the distribution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
17 मई को सियोल में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
17°C 19%
12°C या उससे कम 18%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
18%
13°C
16%
14°C
12%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
19%
18°C
9%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C या अधिक
1%
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
17°C 19%
12°C या उससे कम 18%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
$83 वॉल्यूम
18%
13°C
$113 वॉल्यूम
16%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
17°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
19%
18°C
$84 वॉल्यूम
9%
19°C
$75 वॉल्यूम
3%
20°C
$53 वॉल्यूम
3%
21°C
$291 वॉल्यूम
1%
22°C या अधिक
$33 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seoul's May 17 minimum temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 14–22°C outcomes at 24–26% each, driven by discrepancies across forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global ensembles. KMA's latest short-range guidance projects a 16°C low under clear skies and light winds, favoring mid-teens results, but recent observations of anomalously cool nights—such as 11°C on May 6 and 12°C implied for May 7—signal persistent cool air advection from the north, potentially enhancing nocturnal radiational cooling. Historical mid-May averages hover near 13°C, tempered by Seoul's urban heat island, while variables like cloud development or southerly flow shifts could differentiate outcomes by 2–3°C. Daily KMA updates through May 16 will likely sharpen the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$701समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seoul's May 17 minimum temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 14–22°C outcomes at 24–26% each, driven by discrepancies across forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global ensembles. KMA's latest short-range guidance projects a 16°C low under clear skies and light winds, favoring mid-teens results, but recent observations of anomalously cool nights—such as 11°C on May 6 and 12°C implied for May 7—signal persistent cool air advection from the north, potentially enhancing nocturnal radiational cooling. Historical mid-May averages hover near 13°C, tempered by Seoul's urban heat island, while variables like cloud development or southerly flow shifts could differentiate outcomes by 2–3°C. Daily KMA updates through May 16 will likely sharpen the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$701समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seoul's May 17 minimum temperature, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 14–22°C outcomes at 24–26% each, driven by discrepancies across forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and global ensembles. KMA's latest short-range guidance projects a 16°C low under clear skies and light winds, favoring mid-teens results, but recent observations of anomalously cool nights—such as 11°C on May 6 and 12°C implied for May 7—signal persistent cool air advection from the north, potentially enhancing nocturnal radiational cooling. Historical mid-May averages hover near 13°C, tempered by Seoul's urban heat island, while variables like cloud development or southerly flow shifts could differentiate outcomes by 2–3°C. Daily KMA updates through May 16 will likely sharpen the distribution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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