Trader consensus places overwhelming odds on a 23°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting the latest guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory under stable subtropical high pressure. This setup supports typical early-summer radiative cooling with light winds and limited cloud cover, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines near 24°C. Forecast models show broad agreement on overnight conditions, though small deviations in humidity or brief frontal passages could shift the recorded low. The market-implied probability accounts for these uncertainties while emphasizing the current observational trend; final resolution will depend on the official daily minimum once all hourly readings are verified.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
17 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
23°C 92.0%
22°C 4.3%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$19,037 वॉल्यूम
$19,037 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
18°C या उससे कम
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
92%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
23°C 92.0%
22°C 4.3%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
$19,037 वॉल्यूम
$19,037 वॉल्यूम
17 मई, 2026
18°C या उससे कम
$1,242 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$1,071 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$554 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$1,140 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$992 वॉल्यूम
4%
23°C
$2,332 वॉल्यूम
92%
24°C
$6,312 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$1,328 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$1,076 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$791 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C या उससे अधिक
$2,200 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus places overwhelming odds on a 23°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting the latest guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory under stable subtropical high pressure. This setup supports typical early-summer radiative cooling with light winds and limited cloud cover, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines near 24°C. Forecast models show broad agreement on overnight conditions, though small deviations in humidity or brief frontal passages could shift the recorded low. The market-implied probability accounts for these uncertainties while emphasizing the current observational trend; final resolution will depend on the official daily minimum once all hourly readings are verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,037समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus places overwhelming odds on a 23°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting the latest guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory under stable subtropical high pressure. This setup supports typical early-summer radiative cooling with light winds and limited cloud cover, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines near 24°C. Forecast models show broad agreement on overnight conditions, though small deviations in humidity or brief frontal passages could shift the recorded low. The market-implied probability accounts for these uncertainties while emphasizing the current observational trend; final resolution will depend on the official daily minimum once all hourly readings are verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$19,037समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETTrader consensus places overwhelming odds on a 23°C minimum temperature in Hong Kong on May 17, reflecting the latest guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory under stable subtropical high pressure. This setup supports typical early-summer radiative cooling with light winds and limited cloud cover, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines near 24°C. Forecast models show broad agreement on overnight conditions, though small deviations in humidity or brief frontal passages could shift the recorded low. The market-implied probability accounts for these uncertainties while emphasizing the current observational trend; final resolution will depend on the official daily minimum once all hourly readings are verified.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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