Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles have converged on a narrow 26–27 °C range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 17, producing the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta places typical highs near 25 °C under neutral spring conditions, but a modest subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover are supporting slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Light southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited moisture advection keep the upside capped, while any increase in afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the steering pattern could shave a degree. The next China Meteorological Administration and updated ensemble releases remain the key near-term catalysts that could sharpen or broaden this tight distribution before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
$11,429 वॉल्यूम
$11,429 वॉल्यूम
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
33%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 33%
25°C 16%
28°C 11%
$11,429 वॉल्यूम
$11,429 वॉल्यूम
21°C या उससे कम
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
33%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles have converged on a narrow 26–27 °C range for Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 17, producing the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta places typical highs near 25 °C under neutral spring conditions, but a modest subtropical ridge and reduced cloud cover are supporting slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Light southerly flow off the East China Sea and limited moisture advection keep the upside capped, while any increase in afternoon convection or a slight westward shift in the steering pattern could shave a degree. The next China Meteorological Administration and updated ensemble releases remain the key near-term catalysts that could sharpen or broaden this tight distribution before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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