Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast models showing steady subtropical conditions with minimal daytime warming. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate maximum temperatures will reach but not exceed this threshold, consistent with typical mid-May climatology influenced by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative heating. Historical analogs from the past decade support this outcome, with May maxima averaging near 25°C when similar pressure patterns prevail. Minor model disagreements on afternoon convection could allow a brief push toward 26°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given the stability of recent guidance and the narrow resolution window closing today.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$248,191 वॉल्यूम
$248,191 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
$248,191 वॉल्यूम
$248,191 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
19°C or below
$19,062 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$11,752 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$11,992 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$6,633 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$3,753 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$36,373 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$44,720 वॉल्यूम
100%
26°C
$28,117 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$39,021 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$24,051 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C or higher
$22,716 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast models showing steady subtropical conditions with minimal daytime warming. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate maximum temperatures will reach but not exceed this threshold, consistent with typical mid-May climatology influenced by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative heating. Historical analogs from the past decade support this outcome, with May maxima averaging near 25°C when similar pressure patterns prevail. Minor model disagreements on afternoon convection could allow a brief push toward 26°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given the stability of recent guidance and the narrow resolution window closing today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$248,191समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast models showing steady subtropical conditions with minimal daytime warming. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate maximum temperatures will reach but not exceed this threshold, consistent with typical mid-May climatology influenced by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative heating. Historical analogs from the past decade support this outcome, with May maxima averaging near 25°C when similar pressure patterns prevail. Minor model disagreements on afternoon convection could allow a brief push toward 26°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given the stability of recent guidance and the narrow resolution window closing today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$248,191समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on a 25°C high for Hong Kong on May 16, driven by the latest Hong Kong Observatory forecast models showing steady subtropical conditions with minimal daytime warming. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate maximum temperatures will reach but not exceed this threshold, consistent with typical mid-May climatology influenced by moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative heating. Historical analogs from the past decade support this outcome, with May maxima averaging near 25°C when similar pressure patterns prevail. Minor model disagreements on afternoon convection could allow a brief push toward 26°C, though such revisions remain unlikely given the stability of recent guidance and the narrow resolution window closing today.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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