Latest numerical weather models indicate that Hong Kong’s peak temperature on May 17 will most likely fall between 26 °C and 28 °C, driven by typical late-spring subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory already places May temperatures in the normal-to-above-normal range, yet small differences in timing and coverage of any showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the three central outcomes, traders are effectively pricing the uncertainty range inherent to short-range ensemble forecasts and the precise location of the official observatory thermometer.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 मई को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 32%
26°C 29%
28°C 25%
25°C 11%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
29%
27°C
32%
28°C
25%
29°C or higher
8%
27°C 32%
26°C 29%
28°C 25%
25°C 11%
नया
नया
17 मई, 2026
19°C or below
$441 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$247 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$425 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$177 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$243 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$2,006 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$756 वॉल्यूम
11%
26°C
$232 वॉल्यूम
29%
27°C
$528 वॉल्यूम
32%
28°C
$344 वॉल्यूम
25%
29°C or higher
$602 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather models indicate that Hong Kong’s peak temperature on May 17 will most likely fall between 26 °C and 28 °C, driven by typical late-spring subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory already places May temperatures in the normal-to-above-normal range, yet small differences in timing and coverage of any showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the three central outcomes, traders are effectively pricing the uncertainty range inherent to short-range ensemble forecasts and the precise location of the official observatory thermometer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,721समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather models indicate that Hong Kong’s peak temperature on May 17 will most likely fall between 26 °C and 28 °C, driven by typical late-spring subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory already places May temperatures in the normal-to-above-normal range, yet small differences in timing and coverage of any showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the three central outcomes, traders are effectively pricing the uncertainty range inherent to short-range ensemble forecasts and the precise location of the official observatory thermometer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$5,721समाप्ति तिथि
17 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest numerical weather models indicate that Hong Kong’s peak temperature on May 17 will most likely fall between 26 °C and 28 °C, driven by typical late-spring subtropical conditions with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon heating. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory already places May temperatures in the normal-to-above-normal range, yet small differences in timing and coverage of any showers can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around the three central outcomes, traders are effectively pricing the uncertainty range inherent to short-range ensemble forecasts and the precise location of the official observatory thermometer.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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