Latest National Weather Service Chicago office guidance and short-range model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's May 15 high temperature in the low to mid-70s°F, driving trader consensus toward 74°F or higher at 44.5% implied probability, with 70-71°F (27%) and 72-73°F (24.5%) close behind. This reflects a warming trend after a cool early May—nearly 4°F below normal—fueled by building upper-level ridging and southerly winds advecting milder air masses, per the May 14 Area Forecast Discussion. Above-normal potential stems from sunnier skies and reduced cloud cover compared to recent days, though lingering shower risks introduce uncertainty. Watch afternoon model updates and evening soundings for final refinements before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
74°F or higher 43%
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 4.2%
नया
$50,904 वॉल्यूम
नया
$50,904 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
26%
74°F or higher
43%
74°F or higher 43%
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 4.2%
नया
$50,904 वॉल्यूम
नया
$50,904 वॉल्यूम
15 मई, 2026
55°F or below
$14,995 वॉल्यूम
<1%
56-57°F
$1,661 वॉल्यूम
<1%
58-59°F
$4,966 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-61°F
$3,907 वॉल्यूम
<1%
62-63°F
$5,218 वॉल्यूम
<1%
64-65°F
$3,454 वॉल्यूम
1%
66-67°F
$4,183 वॉल्यूम
1%
68-69°F
$2,869 वॉल्यूम
4%
70-71°F
$2,600 वॉल्यूम
27%
72-73°F
$3,065 वॉल्यूम
26%
74°F or higher
$4,033 वॉल्यूम
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service Chicago office guidance and short-range model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's May 15 high temperature in the low to mid-70s°F, driving trader consensus toward 74°F or higher at 44.5% implied probability, with 70-71°F (27%) and 72-73°F (24.5%) close behind. This reflects a warming trend after a cool early May—nearly 4°F below normal—fueled by building upper-level ridging and southerly winds advecting milder air masses, per the May 14 Area Forecast Discussion. Above-normal potential stems from sunnier skies and reduced cloud cover compared to recent days, though lingering shower risks introduce uncertainty. Watch afternoon model updates and evening soundings for final refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$50,904समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service Chicago office guidance and short-range model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's May 15 high temperature in the low to mid-70s°F, driving trader consensus toward 74°F or higher at 44.5% implied probability, with 70-71°F (27%) and 72-73°F (24.5%) close behind. This reflects a warming trend after a cool early May—nearly 4°F below normal—fueled by building upper-level ridging and southerly winds advecting milder air masses, per the May 14 Area Forecast Discussion. Above-normal potential stems from sunnier skies and reduced cloud cover compared to recent days, though lingering shower risks introduce uncertainty. Watch afternoon model updates and evening soundings for final refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$50,904समाप्ति तिथि
15 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service Chicago office guidance and short-range model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF project Chicago's May 15 high temperature in the low to mid-70s°F, driving trader consensus toward 74°F or higher at 44.5% implied probability, with 70-71°F (27%) and 72-73°F (24.5%) close behind. This reflects a warming trend after a cool early May—nearly 4°F below normal—fueled by building upper-level ridging and southerly winds advecting milder air masses, per the May 14 Area Forecast Discussion. Above-normal potential stems from sunnier skies and reduced cloud cover compared to recent days, though lingering shower risks introduce uncertainty. Watch afternoon model updates and evening soundings for final refinements before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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