The India Meteorological Department’s overnight forecast for May 16 places Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 40 °C, driving the 96 % market-implied probability that readings stay at or below 41 °C. This outlook aligns with the broader May 2026 pattern of normal-to-below-normal maximum temperatures across much of northern India, sustained by above-average pre-monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover that has suppressed surface heating over the Ganges plain. Historical IMD climatology shows mid-May highs typically range 39–42 °C, yet recent station observations and model consensus indicate continued moisture incursion that should limit afternoon peaks. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with stronger westerly flow could realistically lift temperatures into the 42–43 °C range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 96.0%
42°C 1.2%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
नया
$18,009 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,009 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
41°C or below
96%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 96.0%
42°C 1.2%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
नया
$18,009 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,009 वॉल्यूम
16 मई, 2026
41°C or below
$2,523 वॉल्यूम
96%
42°C
$1,981 वॉल्यूम
1%
43°C
$1,554 वॉल्यूम
1%
44°C
$1,159 वॉल्यूम
1%
45°C
$2,549 वॉल्यूम
<1%
46°C
$2,591 वॉल्यूम
<1%
47°C
$757 वॉल्यूम
<1%
48°C
$935 वॉल्यूम
<1%
49°C
$1,791 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50°C
$776 वॉल्यूम
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,415 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department’s overnight forecast for May 16 places Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 40 °C, driving the 96 % market-implied probability that readings stay at or below 41 °C. This outlook aligns with the broader May 2026 pattern of normal-to-below-normal maximum temperatures across much of northern India, sustained by above-average pre-monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover that has suppressed surface heating over the Ganges plain. Historical IMD climatology shows mid-May highs typically range 39–42 °C, yet recent station observations and model consensus indicate continued moisture incursion that should limit afternoon peaks. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with stronger westerly flow could realistically lift temperatures into the 42–43 °C range before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,009समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The India Meteorological Department’s overnight forecast for May 16 places Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 40 °C, driving the 96 % market-implied probability that readings stay at or below 41 °C. This outlook aligns with the broader May 2026 pattern of normal-to-below-normal maximum temperatures across much of northern India, sustained by above-average pre-monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover that has suppressed surface heating over the Ganges plain. Historical IMD climatology shows mid-May highs typically range 39–42 °C, yet recent station observations and model consensus indicate continued moisture incursion that should limit afternoon peaks. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with stronger westerly flow could realistically lift temperatures into the 42–43 °C range before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$18,009समाप्ति तिथि
16 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The India Meteorological Department’s overnight forecast for May 16 places Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 40 °C, driving the 96 % market-implied probability that readings stay at or below 41 °C. This outlook aligns with the broader May 2026 pattern of normal-to-below-normal maximum temperatures across much of northern India, sustained by above-average pre-monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover that has suppressed surface heating over the Ganges plain. Historical IMD climatology shows mid-May highs typically range 39–42 °C, yet recent station observations and model consensus indicate continued moisture incursion that should limit afternoon peaks. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with stronger westerly flow could realistically lift temperatures into the 42–43 °C range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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