Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 20–22°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and showers from a weakening cold front over Brazil's center-south, as indicated by recent INMET updates and Climatempo models. High humidity near 94% and an 84% rain probability limit daytime heating, with expected maxima of 21°C under mostly cloudy to rainy conditions and light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include morning cloud breaks potentially pushing toward 22°C or heavier afternoon precipitation capping at 20°C or below; historical May averages hover at 23°C, but this week's cooler trend—madrugada lows in the teens—supports the lower cluster. Final INMET observations and station data will resolve amid typical short-range model divergence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 मई को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 मई को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
20°C या उससे कम 34%
22°C 25%
21°C 25%
23°C 12%
$12,310 वॉल्यूम
$12,310 वॉल्यूम
20°C या उससे कम
34%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C या अधिक
<1%
20°C या उससे कम 34%
22°C 25%
21°C 25%
23°C 12%
$12,310 वॉल्यूम
$12,310 वॉल्यूम
20°C या उससे कम
34%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 20–22°C for São Paulo's highest temperature on May 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and showers from a weakening cold front over Brazil's center-south, as indicated by recent INMET updates and Climatempo models. High humidity near 94% and an 84% rain probability limit daytime heating, with expected maxima of 21°C under mostly cloudy to rainy conditions and light easterly winds. Differentiating factors include morning cloud breaks potentially pushing toward 22°C or heavier afternoon precipitation capping at 20°C or below; historical May averages hover at 23°C, but this week's cooler trend—madrugada lows in the teens—supports the lower cluster. Final INMET observations and station data will resolve amid typical short-range model divergence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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